Latest signal:
PAGS Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 21 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-18 → 2024-12-10
⚠️ Small sample size (21 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, PAGS alerts reach +3.41% profit potential within 110 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.23%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.77x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 21 alerts, PAGS typically reaches +3.41% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical PAGS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-10 | 09:27:13 | $7.07 | -0.32% | -1.14% | -1.20% | -0.64% | +0.28% | +1.84% | -1.84% | -0.14% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-29 | 09:25:54 | $7.38 | +0.77% | +0.78% | -0.82% | -2.03% | -0.54% | +1.49% | -1.35% | -0.27% | WIN |
| 2024-09-05 | 09:29:06 | $9.51 | -1.47% | +4.21% | +2.63% | +2.10% | +2.00% | +6.47% | -2.10% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-13 | 09:26:25 | $12.78 | -1.45% | -0.39% | -0.39% | -0.31% | +0.86% | +1.53% | -2.19% | +0.31% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-15 | 09:26:00 | $11.19 | -0.89% | -1.97% | -1.97% | -1.16% | -0.71% | +0.63% | -2.86% | -0.80% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-17 | 09:28:00 | $9.0 | - | -0.72% | -1.06% | -0.56% | +0.67% | +3.89% | -4.00% | -0.56% | - |
| 2023-11-13 | 09:27:00 | $7.89 | +1.14% | +1.90% | +3.93% | +3.11% | +4.44% | +4.88% | -1.01% | -0.76% | WIN |
| 2023-11-06 | 09:25:00 | $7.79 | +0.19% | -0.83% | -1.93% | -2.07% | -3.34% | +0.89% | -0.26% | -0.26% | WIN |
| 2023-11-03 | 09:29:00 | $7.43 | +2.76% | +3.63% | +4.47% | +3.97% | +4.17% | +6.46% | +0.67% | +2.29% | WIN |
| 2023-09-15 | 09:28:00 | $9.44 | +1.59% | - | -1.11% | -1.38% | -4.56% | +2.65% | -0.95% | -0.53% | WIN |
| 2023-08-25 | 09:25:00 | $8.3 | +1.20% | +4.46% | +3.98% | +5.66% | +9.04% | +13.43% | -1.45% | - | WIN |
| 2023-08-03 | 09:28:00 | $11.16 | -1.48% | -3.32% | -2.16% | -2.69% | -4.66% | +0.09% | -0.36% | -0.63% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-13 | 09:26:00 | $10.6 | -1.08% | -2.26% | -2.22% | -2.08% | -1.98% | +0.94% | - | +0.14% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-08 | 09:26:00 | $10.81 | +3.42% | +4.81% | +5.92% | +8.33% | +4.72% | +11.56% | -0.09% | - | WIN |
| 2023-02-02 | 09:27:00 | $10.85 | -2.26% | -2.77% | -2.53% | -4.24% | -6.18% | - | -1.38% | -1.01% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-21 | 09:25:00 | $8.17 | -0.98% | -2.02% | -1.59% | +1.10% | +3.06% | +4.77% | -2.33% | -0.24% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-02 | 09:25:00 | $9.65 | -0.67% | +0.34% | +0.67% | -0.83% | +1.35% | +1.97% | -2.44% | -0.52% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-01 | 09:25:00 | $10.3 | -0.83% | -5.05% | -3.64% | -3.88% | -5.53% | +0.10% | - | -0.49% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-25 | 09:25:00 | $10.22 | -0.59% | - | -0.93% | -3.57% | -3.33% | +0.68% | -1.57% | -0.29% | LOSS |
| 2022-11-23 | 09:25:00 | $10.58 | -3.50% | -7.18% | -8.60% | -6.29% | -3.02% | +0.76% | +0.76% | +0.09% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ PAGS Shows Negative Expectancy
With 47.6% win rate and -0.28% average gain, PAGS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PAGS for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze PAGS with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PAGS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, PAGS historically offers an average upside of +3.41% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 PAGS Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 47.6%, PAGS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PAGS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: PAGS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.28%). This suggests PAGS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.