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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$PAYX

Trade-Ideas alert history 16 alerts 2022-01-062025-02-05

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 16 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 26, 1983 🔗 www.paychex.com
💰 Market Cap: $35.20B 👥 Employees: 19,000
Paychex is a cloud-based human capital management provider offering payroll, compliance, talent management, benefits administration, and retirement services. The firm also provides HR outsourcing services, including professional employer organization, or PEO, offerings, enabling clients to reduce HR overhead. Paychex primarily targets small and midsize businesses, although its acquisition of Paycor in 2025 signals the firm's aspirations to expand into the midmarket segment, serving firms with more than 100 employees. As of fiscal 2025, Paychex has approximately 800,000 clients and manages payroll for one in 11 workers in the United States.
Total alerts
16
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
87.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.30%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.67%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading PAYX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable PAYX setups

Historical PAYX setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 87.5%
Avg Gain: +0.30%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +1.88%
Worst: -1.36%
Trades: 14/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.39%
Best: +2.28%
Worst: -1.14%
Trades: 9/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: -0.63%
Best: +3.40%
Worst: -2.61%
Trades: 10/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -0.55%
Best: +5.33%
Worst: -1.32%
Trades: 8/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +0.92%
Avg Winner: +1.83%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +6.16%
Worst: -1.72%
Trades: 10/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.67%
Best MFE: +6.59%
Avg Time to MFE: 231 min

On average, PAYX alerts reach +1.67% profit potential within 231 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.60%
Worst MAE: -2.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 30 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.79:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.79x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, PAYX typically reaches +1.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 16
Gap Up % 68.8%
Avg Gap +0.19%
Best Gap +1.37%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-ENGINEERING, ACCOUNTING, RESEARCH, MANAGEMENT

How PAYX compares to 1 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PAYX: +0.30% Sector: +0.30% +0.00%
EOD Gain
PAYX: +0.92% Sector: +0.92% +0.00%
Avg MFE
PAYX: +1.67% Sector: +1.67% +0.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PAYX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-05 09:28:00 $148.8 +0.38% +0.34% +0.15% +0.29% +1.39% +1.49% -0.09% +0.78% WIN
2024-12-17 09:28:20 $141.15 +0.01% -0.05% +0.01% +0.09% -0.62% +0.81% -0.39% -0.31% WIN
2024-12-03 09:28:07 $144.76 +0.31% -0.34% +0.03% +0.10% -0.19% +0.68% +0.42% +0.57% WIN
2024-04-02 09:26:20 $115.0 +1.88% +2.28% +3.40% +5.33% +6.16% +6.59% -0.24% +1.37% WIN
2023-12-28 09:29:00 $119.07 +0.21% +0.05% +0.24% +0.71% +0.36% +0.84% -0.01% +0.24% WIN
2023-10-19 09:26:00 $118.27 +0.19% -0.14% -0.08% -0.44% -0.07% +1.15% -0.63% +0.20% WIN
2023-10-04 09:27:00 $114.24 +0.60% +0.36% +0.35% -0.28% +0.91% +1.23% -0.37% +0.48% WIN
2023-09-26 09:28:00 $113.76 +0.06% -0.18% -0.01% -0.48% -0.91% +0.50% +0.04% +0.18% WIN
2022-12-22 09:25:00 $111.01 +0.66% -0.91% -2.61% -1.32% +1.05% +1.09% -2.71% -0.01% WIN
2022-09-08 09:25:00 $124.71 -1.36% -1.14% -0.74% -0.53% +0.42% +0.56% -1.88% -1.05% LOSS
2022-05-04 09:25:00 $128.55 +0.29% +0.01% -0.00% -0.08% +3.05% +3.38% -0.64% +0.03% WIN
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $112.14 -0.62% +0.37% +0.32% +0.59% +3.25% +3.43% -0.67% -0.45% LOSS
2022-02-23 09:25:00 $115.6 +0.87% +0.75% +0.35% -0.33% -1.72% +1.01% +0.43% +0.49% WIN
2022-01-24 09:25:00 $118.66 +0.36% -0.01% -0.36% -0.94% +1.21% +1.31% -2.83% -0.42% WIN
2022-01-18 09:25:00 $122.43 +0.48% +0.70% +0.00% +0.50% +0.49% +1.35% -0.27% +0.37% WIN
2022-01-06 09:25:00 $130.89 +0.51% +0.92% +0.69% +0.70% -0.07% +1.23% +0.29% +0.61% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 87.5% Baseline on PAYX

The 87.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push PAYX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PAYX Strategy →

Why Analyze PAYX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PAYX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PAYX historically offers an average upside of +1.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PAYX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 87.5%, PAYX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PAYX performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.30%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.