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PBM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 20 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-03-08 → 2025-01-14

⚠️ Small sample size (20 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Psyence Biomedical Ltd. Common Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 26, 2024 🔗 www.psyence.com
💰 Market Cap: $677,499 👥 Employees: 12
Psyence Biomedical Ltd is a life science biotechnology company pioneering the use of natural psychedelics in mental health and wellbeing. It develops natural psilocybin products for the healing of psychological trauma and its mental health consequences in the context of palliative care. The company has commenced the clinical trial process to evaluate the safety and efficacy of its product candidates. It cultivates natural psilocybin mushrooms at its federally licensed facility in Southern Africa. This product is produced for export to its partners across the world to be processed into a standardized encapsulated product.
📊
20
Total Alerts
🎯
80.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+13394.74%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+26.34%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: -0.57%
Avg Winner: +4.53%
Avg Loser: -4.75%
Best: +9.49%
Worst: -10.74%
Trades: 9/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -0.79%
Avg Winner: +10.93%
Avg Loser: -5.81%
Best: +33.98%
Worst: -20.37%
Trades: 6/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 15.0%
Avg Gain: -5.52%
Avg Winner: +12.49%
Avg Loser: -8.70%
Best: +34.06%
Worst: -30.98%
Trades: 3/17

60MIN

Win Rate: 36.8%
Avg Gain: -4.14%
Avg Winner: +10.06%
Avg Loser: -12.43%
Best: +50.78%
Worst: -32.69%
Trades: 7/12

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +13394.74%
Avg Winner: +16745.00%
Avg Loser: -6.33%
Best: +60875.79%
Worst: -13.53%
Trades: 16/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +26.34%
Best MFE: +283.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, PBM alerts reach +26.34% profit potential within 128 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.30%
Worst MAE: -13.83%
Avg Time to MAE: 27 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.30%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.97:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.97x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 20 alerts, PBM typically reaches +26.34% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 21.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 20
Gap Up % 35.0%
Avg Gap -0.26%
Best Gap +5.32%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PBM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-14 09:28:20 $1.78 +3.37% +4.42% -0.01% +0.56% +2.25% +10.11% -1.69% -0.56% WIN
2024-12-24 09:29:43 $2.4 +1.67% -4.17% -5.00% -5.62% +706.96% +2.08% -8.33% -0.42% WIN
2024-12-23 09:28:48 $2.55 -7.45% -5.96% -15.55% -9.22% -6.67% +4.71% +3.14% +1.18% LOSS
2024-12-20 09:25:34 $4.05 -8.40% -0.74% -12.59% -17.78% +525.79% +4.94% -13.83% -2.72% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:26:04 $2.05 -4.39% -1.27% -7.56% +5.37% +856.40% +283.90% -11.71% +1.46% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:25:20 $1.8 +0.56% +1.11% -4.74% - -2.78% +1.11% -3.89% -0.56% WIN
2024-12-11 09:25:43 $1.91 +1.57% -1.04% -0.52% +2.88% +8.38% +14.14% -3.14% -0.52% WIN
2024-12-10 09:27:42 $2.7 -10.74% -13.02% -21.48% -21.85% +511.03% +5.56% -0.74% +4.07% LOSS
2024-12-06 09:27:09 $2.3 -3.91% -4.35% -6.09% -4.42% +3.04% +30.43% -7.39% -2.17% LOSS
2024-12-05 09:26:00 $3.35 +8.36% +11.61% -10.15% -14.33% +528.08% +19.40% -2.99% -1.79% WIN
2024-12-03 09:26:34 $3.49 -4.01% -3.94% -6.30% -11.46% +543.99% +0.29% -0.57% -2.87% LOSS
2024-08-13 09:26:58 $0.46 +0.28% -5.51% -2.32% -7.73% +5.08% +11.16% -9.70% -0.15% WIN
2024-07-29 09:29:26 $0.61 +9.49% +9.52% +2.27% +4.97% +60875.79% +10.34% +1.28% +1.61% WIN
2024-07-26 09:29:39 $0.57 -1.89% +4.94% +1.15% +5.74% +2.54% +37.23% -2.59% +2.35% LOSS
2024-07-25 09:25:12 $1.08 +6.94% -20.37% -30.98% -32.69% +33108.33% +8.31% -7.40% - WIN
2024-07-23 09:27:00 $0.4 -4.38% -5.15% -9.68% -7.05% +60423.12% - -10.00% -4.38% LOSS
2024-07-18 09:26:10 $0.42 -2.87% -4.55% -2.96% -3.06% +60651.60% +1.87% +0.71% +1.87% LOSS
2024-06-24 09:28:24 $0.38 -1.42% -6.60% -0.76% +0.13% -2.34% +7.52% -7.62% -2.71% LOSS
2024-06-21 09:27:24 $0.45 -2.77% -4.66% -11.24% -13.97% -13.53% +5.32% -7.41% +5.32% LOSS
2024-03-08 09:27:18 $2.56 +8.52% +33.98% +34.06% +50.78% +49167.68% +68.36% -12.11% -4.30% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 80.0% Baseline on PBM

The 80.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PBM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PBM Strategy →

Why Analyze PBM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PBM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PBM historically offers an average upside of +26.34% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PBM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 80.0%, PBM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PBM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +13394.74%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.