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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$PEN

Trade-Ideas alerts 75.0% at 5-min n=4 2026-01-15 → 2026-06-22

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 4 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 18, 2015 🔗 www.penumbrainc.com
💰 Market Cap: $12.51B 👥 Employees: 4,700
Domiciled in the US, Penumbra designs, manufactures, and markets an array of thrombectomy and embolization devices and equipment to mechanically remove blood clots. The firm sells mainly to hospitals and physicians. These minimally invasive devices are primarily used in the acute care setting for patients with stroke, pulmonary embolism, deep vein thrombosis, cranial aneurysms, and other vascular diseases.
Total alerts
4
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
75.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.20%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.98%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading PEN on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +0.75%
Worst: -0.68%
Trades: 3/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.38%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.25%
Best: +0.65%
Worst: -0.25%
Trades: 3/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.41%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.03%
Best: +0.85%
Worst: -0.03%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.37%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -0.40%
Best: +0.94%
Worst: -0.40%
Trades: 3/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.25%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -0.30%
Best: +0.90%
Worst: -0.32%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.98%
Best MFE: +2.24%
Avg Time to MFE: 151 min

On average, PEN alerts reach +0.98% profit potential within 151 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.43%
Worst MAE: -1.18%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.43%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.29:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.29x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, PEN typically reaches +0.98% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 75.0%
Avg Gap +0.27%
Best Gap +0.91%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How PEN compares to 105 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PEN: +0.49% Sector: -0.34% +0.84%
EOD Gain
PEN: +0.44% Sector: +21761.00% -21760.57%
Avg MFE
PEN: +1.34% Sector: +8.29% -6.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PEN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-06-22 09:25:00 $317.2 -0.68% -0.25% - -0.40% -0.32% -0.09% -0.68% -0.29% LOSS
2026-02-06 09:25:00 $342.01 +0.26% +0.55% -0.03% +0.03% -0.29% +0.60% -0.04% +0.47% WIN
2026-01-21 09:25:00 $354.48 +0.75% +0.56% +0.43% +0.90% +0.90% +2.24% +0.19% +0.91% WIN
2026-01-15 09:25:00 $348.08 +0.47% +0.65% +0.85% +0.94% +0.69% +1.17% -1.18% +0.01% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 75.0% Baseline on PEN

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push PEN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PEN Strategy →

Why Analyze PEN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PEN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PEN historically offers an average upside of +0.98% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PEN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, PEN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PEN performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.20%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.