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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$PHYS

Trade-Ideas alerts 54.5% at EOD n=123 2022-01-25 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Sprott Physical Gold Trust
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Feb 26, 2010 🔗 sprott.com
💰 Market Cap: $17.06B
Sprott Physical Gold Trust is a closed-end mutual fund trust. The company provides a secure, convenient and exchange-traded investment alternative for investors interested in holding physical gold bullion without the inconvenience associated with direct investment in physical gold bullion. The company invests mainly in long-term holdings of unencumbered, fully allocated, physical gold bullion and does not and will not speculate about short-term changes in gold prices.
Total alerts
123
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
54.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.02%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.69%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading PHYS on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.13%
Avg Loser: -0.14%
Best: +0.42%
Worst: -0.89%
Trades: 41/79

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.28%
Avg Loser: -0.25%
Best: +2.18%
Worst: -0.91%
Trades: 59/62

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.4%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: +1.31%
Worst: -2.04%
Trades: 62/57

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.3%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.47%
Avg Loser: -0.45%
Best: +2.04%
Worst: -4.45%
Trades: 57/62

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.63%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +2.22%
Worst: -5.20%
Trades: 67/55

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.69%
Best MFE: +2.34%
Avg Time to MFE: 144 min

On average, PHYS alerts reach +0.69% profit potential within 144 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.29%
Worst MAE: -1.04%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.44:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.44x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 123 alerts, PHYS typically reaches +0.69% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 123
Gap Up % 42.3%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +0.39%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PHYS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $31.53 +0.19% +0.24% -0.13% -0.12% -1.01% +0.41% +0.11% +0.25% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $31.35 +0.00% -0.18% -0.10% -0.13% +0.29% +0.51% -0.33% -0.10% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $31.58 +0.03% -0.16% -0.24% -0.47% -0.98% +0.06% -0.03% -0.03% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $31.3 +0.10% +0.10% +0.10% +0.42% +0.48% +0.48% -0.03% +0.06% WIN
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $31.23 -0.06% +0.10% +0.32% +0.04% -0.45% +0.43% -0.19% -0.10% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $32.26 -0.09% -0.02% +0.03% -0.17% +0.28% +0.48% -0.51% -0.03% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $32.96 -0.18% -0.32% -0.46% -0.68% -0.39% -0.03% -0.21% -0.09% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $33.0 -0.15% -0.33% -0.18% -0.08% -0.58% +0.11% -0.48% -0.15% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $32.29 +0.03% -0.17% -0.12% -0.34% +0.22% +0.90% -0.34% -0.03% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $33.15 -0.03% +0.15% +0.08% -0.26% -0.87% +0.35% -0.12% +0.09% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $33.38 +0.10% -0.09% +0.30% +0.54% +0.66% +0.87% -0.12% -0.03% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $33.98 -0.21% -0.35% -0.47% -0.24% -0.29% +0.50% -0.47% +0.03% LOSS
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $33.0 +0.11% +0.20% +0.43% +0.67% +0.78% +0.93% -0.01% +0.05% WIN
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $32.91 +0.09% +0.30% +0.36% +0.69% -0.43% +0.73% -0.12% +0.08% WIN
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $33.69 -0.04% -0.22% -0.61% -0.65% +0.36% +0.33% -0.74% +0.03% LOSS
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $35.01 +0.04% +0.17% -0.06% +0.36% +1.26% +1.29% -0.17% -0.00% WIN
2026-08-24 09:25:00 $35.41 +0.13% +0.08% +0.00% -0.01% -0.23% +0.31% -0.27% +0.08% WIN
2026-08-21 09:25:00 $34.72 -0.01% +0.17% +0.07% +0.45% +0.81% +1.09% -0.17% +0.09% LOSS
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $33.84 -0.06% +0.15% +0.24% +0.41% +1.42% +1.51% -0.15% -0.09% LOSS
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $33.9 -0.19% -0.28% -0.35% +0.13% +0.56% +0.65% -0.56% -0.06% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 54.5% Baseline on PHYS

The 54.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push PHYS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PHYS Strategy →

Why Analyze PHYS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PHYS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PHYS historically offers an average upside of +0.69% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PHYS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.5%, PHYS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PHYS performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.