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POET Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 18 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-31 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (18 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

POET Technologies Inc. Common Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 14, 2022 🔗 www.poet-technologies.com
💰 Market Cap: $986.5M 👥 Employees: 90
POET Technologies Inc is a design and development company offering high-speed optical engines, light source products, and custom optical modules to the artificial intelligence systems market and hyperscale data centers. Its integration solutions are based on the POET Optical Interposer, a novel, patented platform that allows the seamless integration of electronic and photonic devices into a single chip using wafer-level semiconductor manufacturing techniques. POET's Optical Interposer platform also solves device integration challenges across a broad range of communication, computing, and sensing applications. The company operates geographically in the United States, Canada, Singapore and China.
📊
18
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+1.31%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+9.77%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.46%
Avg Winner: +5.29%
Avg Loser: -3.33%
Best: +9.28%
Worst: -6.03%
Trades: 6/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.31%
Avg Winner: +6.25%
Avg Loser: -3.64%
Best: +15.14%
Worst: -9.68%
Trades: 9/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.76%
Avg Winner: +5.37%
Avg Loser: -3.86%
Best: +14.54%
Worst: -9.34%
Trades: 9/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +6.40%
Avg Loser: -5.54%
Best: +19.90%
Worst: -18.43%
Trades: 8/10

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +1.82%
Avg Winner: +13.56%
Avg Loser: -8.42%
Best: +29.79%
Worst: -18.94%
Trades: 8/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.77%
Best MFE: +34.51%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, POET alerts reach +9.77% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.06%
Worst MAE: -9.26%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.06%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.19:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.19x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 18 alerts, POET typically reaches +9.77% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 18
Gap Up % 27.8%
Avg Gap -0.35%
Best Gap +7.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical POET alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:26:47 $4.37 -5.03% -1.14% -0.23% +1.89% +4.69% +6.30% -8.47% -0.69% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:22 $4.9 -6.03% -4.90% -4.59% -2.86% -3.27% +1.02% -6.94% +0.61% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:25:57 $5.83 -3.77% -5.66% -5.83% -7.81% -6.52% -0.17% -0.17% -1.72% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:51 $5.02 -0.96% +0.20% -0.40% -1.00% +0.20% +2.39% -0.40% +0.60% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:26:10 $7.0 -1.26% -3.13% -4.86% -5.57% -12.00% - - -0.29% LOSS
2024-12-31 09:25:36 $6.77 -1.48% -5.48% -3.10% -8.96% -12.11% +0.15% -2.07% -2.51% LOSS
2024-12-27 09:28:25 $7.3 -1.92% -1.10% -3.77% -5.02% -4.66% +1.51% -1.37% -0.41% LOSS
2024-12-26 09:25:45 $5.88 -2.21% +15.14% +14.54% +19.90% +29.08% +32.48% -2.21% -0.68% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:27:33 $4.36 +3.55% +5.28% +8.72% +7.34% +5.05% +10.78% -0.80% -0.80% WIN
2024-10-17 09:29:10 $4.37 -3.43% -0.92% +0.57% -1.83% -5.72% +1.83% -4.58% -0.69% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:25:26 $4.34 -3.69% +2.60% +1.58% +7.31% +3.92% +8.76% -7.83% -1.61% LOSS
2024-09-24 09:27:17 $4.75 -4.42% +4.42% +0.28% +2.53% - +17.89% -9.26% -3.16% LOSS
2024-09-23 09:29:09 $3.39 +8.13% +1.77% +3.24% +3.73% +29.79% +34.51% -0.29% +2.65% WIN
2024-07-08 09:27:48 $3.96 -5.81% -9.68% -9.34% -18.43% -18.94% -0.25% -1.52% -1.26% LOSS
2024-04-30 09:28:11 $2.98 +9.28% +10.68% +5.37% +5.70% -8.05% +14.43% +0.67% +2.68% WIN
2024-04-29 09:27:40 $2.63 +4.56% +5.32% +4.18% -1.52% +11.79% +13.69% -4.56% -0.76% WIN
2023-11-30 09:27:00 $0.71 +4.23% +10.85% +9.86% +2.82% +23.94% +27.46% - +7.04% WIN
2022-03-31 09:25:00 $7.6 +1.97% -0.73% -2.63% -2.37% -4.47% +3.03% -5.26% -5.26% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on POET

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push POET's performance to 75%+.

Optimize POET Strategy →

Why Analyze POET with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for POET. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, POET historically offers an average upside of +9.77% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 POET Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, POET shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show POET performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.31%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.