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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$PONY

Trade-Ideas alert history 2 alerts 2024-12-232025-02-14

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 2 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 27, 2024 🔗 www.pony.ai
💰 Market Cap: $3.95B 👥 Employees: 1,669
Pony AI Inc is an artificial intelligence technology company that is principally engaged in the operation and development of autonomous vehicles. It operates fully driverless robotaxis through the PonyPilot mobile app in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen. The company operates a fleet of robotaxis. The Group conducts its operations mainly in the People's Republic of China (PRC) and the United States of America (U.S.) through subsidiaries. Key revenue is generated from the Peoples Republic of China.
Total alerts
2
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
50.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.40%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.84%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading PONY on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.40%
Avg Winner: +1.34%
Avg Loser: -2.15%
Best: +1.34%
Worst: -2.15%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.24%
Avg Winner: +2.60%
Avg Loser: -5.08%
Best: +2.60%
Worst: -5.08%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +3.20%
Avg Loser: -4.01%
Best: +3.20%
Worst: -4.01%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +5.17%
Avg Loser: -6.21%
Best: +5.17%
Worst: -6.21%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +6.99%
Avg Loser: -6.55%
Best: +6.99%
Worst: -6.55%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.84%
Best MFE: +8.55%
Avg Time to MFE: 43 min

On average, PONY alerts reach +4.84% profit potential within 43 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.56%
Worst MAE: -1.12%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.56%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

8.68:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 8.68x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, PONY typically reaches +4.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.10%
Best Gap +0.56%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PONY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:41 $17.7 -2.15% -5.08% -4.01% -6.21% -6.55% +1.13% - +0.56% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:28:09 $13.45 +1.34% +2.60% +3.20% +5.17% +6.99% +8.55% -1.12% -0.37% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ PONY Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.40% average gain, PONY alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PONY for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze PONY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PONY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PONY historically offers an average upside of +4.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PONY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, PONY shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PONY may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PONY shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.40%). This suggests PONY is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.