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PRAA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-31 → 2023-03-28

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 08, 2002 🔗 www.pragroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $620.7M 👥 Employees: 2,814
PRA Group Inc is a leader in acquiring and collecting nonperforming loans. The company returns capital to banks and other creditors to help expand financial services for consumers in the Americas, Europe, and Australia. It is also engaged in providing fee-based services on class action claims recoveries in the United States. The company's portfolio segments include; Core, which is engaged in purchasing and collecting nonperforming loans, which the originators have not chosen not to pursue, and the Insolvency segment which is engaged in purchasing and collecting nonperforming loans where the customer is involved in a bankruptcy proceeding.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.43%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.97%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.23%
Avg Winner: +0.35%
Avg Loser: -0.03%
Best: +0.43%
Worst: -0.03%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.43%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.60%
Worst: +0.22%
Trades: 3/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.76%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.44%
Worst: +0.30%
Trades: 3/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.36%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.68%
Worst: +0.03%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.31%
Avg Winner: +0.22%
Avg Loser: -1.35%
Best: +0.33%
Worst: -1.35%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.97%
Best MFE: +1.44%
Avg Time to MFE: 22 min

On average, PRAA alerts reach +0.97% profit potential within 22 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.04%
Worst MAE: -0.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.04%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

26.03:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 26.03x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, PRAA typically reaches +0.97% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.23%
Best Gap +0.43%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SHORT-TERM BUSINESS CREDIT INSTITUTIONS

How PRAA compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PRAA: +0.12% Sector: -0.57% +0.69%
EOD Gain
PRAA: -0.62% Sector: +132.28% -132.91%
Avg MFE
PRAA: +1.17% Sector: +8.87% -7.70%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PRAA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-03-28 09:25:00 $38.11 -0.03% +0.47% +1.44% +0.68% +0.10% +1.44% -0.03% -0.03% LOSS
2022-09-27 09:25:00 $33.25 +0.27% +0.60% +0.30% +0.03% -1.35% +0.90% +0.24% +0.27% WIN
2022-08-31 09:25:00 $36.82 +0.43% +0.22% +0.54% - +0.33% +0.56% -0.33% +0.43% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on PRAA

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PRAA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PRAA Strategy →

Why Analyze PRAA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PRAA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PRAA historically offers an average upside of +0.97% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PRAA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, PRAA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PRAA performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.43%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.