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QFIN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 13 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-12 → 2024-11-27

⚠️ Small sample size (13 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Qfin Holdings, Inc. American Depositary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 14, 2018 🔗 www.qifu.tech
💰 Market Cap: $2.14B 👥 Employees: 3,527
Qfin Holdings Inc Formerly Qifu Technology Inc is a Credit-Tech platform in China. It provides credit services more accessible and personalized to consumers and SMEs through Credit-Tech services to financial institutions, whereby it deploys its technology solutions to help financial institutions identify the diversified needs of consumers and SMEs, effectively access prospective borrowers that are creditworthy through multi-channels, enhance credit assessment on prospective borrowers, and manage credit risks and improve collection strategies and efficiency, among others.
📊
13
Total Alerts
🎯
84.6%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+2.51%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+6.54%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 69.2%
Avg Gain: +1.65%
Avg Winner: +2.75%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +8.64%
Worst: -1.42%
Trades: 9/4

15MIN

Win Rate: 69.2%
Avg Gain: +1.57%
Avg Winner: +3.14%
Avg Loser: -1.97%
Best: +6.01%
Worst: -5.30%
Trades: 9/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 84.6%
Avg Gain: +2.51%
Avg Winner: +3.34%
Avg Loser: -2.05%
Best: +9.84%
Worst: -2.40%
Trades: 11/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 84.6%
Avg Gain: +3.07%
Avg Winner: +3.87%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: +11.18%
Worst: -1.90%
Trades: 11/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 69.2%
Avg Gain: +3.78%
Avg Winner: +6.91%
Avg Loser: -3.26%
Best: +24.22%
Worst: -4.98%
Trades: 9/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.54%
Best MFE: +24.66%
Avg Time to MFE: 154 min

On average, QFIN alerts reach +6.54% profit potential within 154 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.36%
Worst MAE: -6.13%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.36%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.81:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.81x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 13 alerts, QFIN typically reaches +6.54% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 13
Gap Up % 69.2%
Avg Gap +0.34%
Best Gap +1.62%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical QFIN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-27 09:28:51 $36.1 +1.54% +2.38% +3.38% +3.38% +4.93% +5.15% +0.25% +0.28% WIN
2024-09-30 09:28:54 $30.55 +1.11% +2.26% +3.70% +2.29% -2.42% +4.14% -1.31% +0.13% WIN
2024-09-26 09:28:39 $26.38 +8.64% +6.01% +6.05% +4.36% +7.88% +9.46% -0.34% +0.61% WIN
2024-08-14 09:26:01 $22.4 +0.45% +3.08% +1.96% +1.14% +5.80% +7.05% -1.43% -0.27% WIN
2024-05-30 09:29:12 $19.5 +1.69% +1.95% +1.38% +2.15% +0.67% +2.77% +0.56% +0.56% WIN
2023-01-04 09:25:00 $21.78 -0.09% +1.10% +3.12% +4.64% +7.02% +7.30% -0.14% +0.78% LOSS
2022-12-08 09:25:00 $17.33 +5.02% -0.40% +0.40% +1.96% +1.90% +5.60% -0.14% +0.12% WIN
2022-12-05 09:25:00 $17.88 +0.62% +0.62% -2.40% -1.90% -4.98% +1.23% -4.25% - WIN
2022-11-29 09:25:00 $13.9 +3.20% +4.89% +3.45% +5.47% +4.75% +5.61% +0.58% +1.29% WIN
2022-08-26 09:25:00 $17.01 -1.29% -1.15% -1.70% -0.85% -3.17% +0.63% -3.23% -0.53% LOSS
2022-03-16 09:25:00 $13.87 +2.52% +5.98% +9.84% +11.18% +24.22% +24.66% - +0.72% WIN
2022-03-14 09:25:00 $12.07 -0.53% -5.30% +3.40% +4.89% -2.49% +6.13% -6.13% +1.62% LOSS
2022-01-12 09:25:00 $19.7 -1.42% -1.02% +0.10% +1.17% +4.97% +5.33% -2.08% -0.86% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 84.6% Baseline on QFIN

The 84.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push QFIN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize QFIN Strategy →

Why Analyze QFIN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for QFIN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, QFIN historically offers an average upside of +6.54% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 QFIN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 84.6%, QFIN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show QFIN performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.51%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.