Latest signal:
RAIN Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 12 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-22 → 2023-12-14
⚠️ Small sample size (12 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, RAIN alerts reach +4.38% profit potential within 44 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.39%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.16x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, RAIN typically reaches +4.38% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: MISC INDUSTRIAL & COMMERCIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
How RAIN compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical RAIN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-14 | 09:27:00 | $1.19 | - | +0.88% | +0.06% | - | +1.68% | +4.20% | -0.84% | - | - |
| 2023-10-16 | 09:29:00 | $1.09 | -1.83% | -5.50% | -5.96% | -5.65% | -2.75% | +0.92% | -0.92% | +0.92% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-27 | 09:27:00 | $1.24 | +1.61% | -0.20% | +0.40% | +0.19% | -2.42% | +2.42% | -0.81% | +0.81% | WIN |
| 2023-06-08 | 09:28:00 | $1.29 | -0.66% | +0.89% | +3.88% | +4.65% | - | +6.20% | -0.78% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-06-05 | 09:27:00 | $1.22 | -0.72% | +2.40% | +3.33% | +1.65% | +2.46% | +9.84% | -2.05% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-06-02 | 09:26:00 | $1.22 | +1.23% | +1.64% | +1.65% | +4.92% | +3.28% | +13.02% | -1.64% | +1.64% | WIN |
| 2023-05-30 | 09:26:00 | $1.13 | - | -2.75% | -11.06% | -15.65% | -3.54% | +1.77% | -1.77% | -0.89% | - |
| 2023-05-26 | 09:25:00 | $1.14 | -1.75% | -1.83% | -4.39% | -6.58% | -3.51% | +0.88% | -2.63% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-05-25 | 09:28:00 | $1.22 | -1.63% | -2.05% | -4.10% | -6.66% | -6.56% | - | - | -0.82% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-24 | 09:26:00 | $1.24 | -1.61% | -3.23% | -4.82% | -1.61% | - | +0.81% | -1.61% | +0.81% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-23 | 09:28:00 | $1.24 | +1.61% | - | +0.81% | -3.63% | - | +9.68% | -0.73% | +0.81% | WIN |
| 2023-05-22 | 09:25:00 | $1.75 | -0.57% | -4.57% | -24.00% | -30.40% | -30.29% | +2.86% | -2.86% | -1.14% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ RAIN Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -3.68% average gain, RAIN alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RAIN for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze RAIN with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RAIN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, RAIN historically offers an average upside of +4.38% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 RAIN Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, RAIN shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RAIN may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: RAIN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -3.68%). This suggests RAIN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.