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RYAN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-23 → 2023-10-13

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE (SIC 6411)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 22, 2021 🔗 www.ryanspecialty.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.44B 👥 Employees: 5,982
Ryan Specialty Holdings Inc is a service provider of specialty products and solutions for insurance brokers, agents, and carriers. It provides distribution, underwriting, product development, administration, and risk management services by acting as a wholesale broker and a managing underwriter.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.16%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.62%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.16%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.17%
Worst: +0.15%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +0.52%
Worst: -0.86%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.62%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: -1.53%
Best: +0.29%
Worst: -1.53%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.95%
Avg Winner: +0.02%
Avg Loser: -1.92%
Best: +0.02%
Worst: -1.92%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.64%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.64%
Best: -0.13%
Worst: -3.16%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.62%
Best MFE: +0.72%
Avg Time to MFE: 10 min

On average, RYAN alerts reach +0.62% profit potential within 10 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.10%
Worst MAE: -0.27%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.10%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.04:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.04x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, RYAN typically reaches +0.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.32%
Best Gap +0.46%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE

How RYAN compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RYAN: +0.16% Sector: +0.05% +0.11%
EOD Gain
RYAN: -1.64% Sector: +3236.33% -3237.98%
Avg MFE
RYAN: +0.62% Sector: +9.09% -8.47%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RYAN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-10-13 09:25:00 $47.36 +0.17% +0.52% +0.29% +0.02% -0.13% +0.52% -0.27% +0.17% WIN
2023-05-23 09:26:00 $43.02 +0.15% -0.86% -1.53% -1.92% -3.16% +0.72% +0.07% +0.46% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on RYAN

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RYAN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RYAN Strategy →

Why Analyze RYAN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RYAN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RYAN historically offers an average upside of +0.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RYAN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, RYAN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RYAN performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.16%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.