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SGOV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 167 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: May 28, 2020
📊
167
Total Alerts
🎯
40.4%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.00%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+0.01%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.6%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.02%
Worst: -0.03%
Trades: 64/73

15MIN

Win Rate: 34.3%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.02%
Worst: -0.03%
Trades: 57/72

30MIN

Win Rate: 38.0%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.02%
Worst: -0.03%
Trades: 63/74

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.4%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.02%
Worst: -0.03%
Trades: 67/65

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 32.3%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.01%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.03%
Worst: -0.04%
Trades: 54/43

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.01%
Best MFE: +0.02%
Avg Time to MFE: 41 min

On average, SGOV alerts reach +0.01% profit potential within 41 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.00%
Worst MAE: -0.04%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.00%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.45:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 167 alerts, SGOV typically reaches +0.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 167
Gap Up % 28.7%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +0.02%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SGOV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:49 $100.51 -0.01% -0.01% -0.00% -0.01% -0.01% - -0.01% -0.01% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:56 $100.45 +0.01% - +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% - +0.01% WIN
2025-02-12 09:27:30 $100.45 -0.01% -0.01% - -0.01% -0.01% - -0.01% -0.01% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:41 $100.43 - +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% - +0.01% - +0.01% -
2025-02-10 09:25:28 $100.43 -0.01% -0.01% -0.01% -0.01% - - -0.00% - LOSS
2025-02-07 09:27:57 $100.42 -0.01% -0.00% -0.01% -0.01% -0.01% - -0.01% - LOSS
2025-02-06 09:27:54 $100.37 +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% - +0.01% WIN
2025-02-05 09:29:39 $100.36 - +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% - +0.01% - +0.01% -
2025-02-04 09:26:42 $100.35 - +0.01% - +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% - +0.01% -
2025-02-03 09:27:38 $100.34 - -0.01% -0.01% -0.00% - - -0.01% -0.01% -
2025-01-31 09:26:19 $100.69 - -0.01% -0.01% -0.01% -0.01% - -0.01% - -
2025-01-30 09:27:44 $100.66 -0.01% -0.01% -0.01% -0.01% - +0.01% -0.01% -0.01% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:26:31 $100.65 -0.01% -0.01% -0.01% -0.01% -0.01% - - -0.01% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:25:29 $100.63 -0.01% - -0.01% - +0.01% +0.01% -0.01% - LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:41 $100.62 +0.00% - +0.01% +0.01% -0.01% +0.01% - - LOSS
2025-01-24 09:26:22 $100.61 +0.01% +0.01% +0.00% +0.01% - +0.01% - - WIN
2025-01-23 09:26:32 $100.57 - +0.00% +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% +0.00% +0.01% -
2025-01-22 09:25:51 $100.56 +0.01% - - - +0.01% +0.01% +0.01% - WIN
2025-01-21 09:29:50 $100.56 -0.01% -0.01% -0.01% -0.00% -0.01% - -0.01% -0.01% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:25:15 $100.55 -0.01% -0.01% -0.02% -0.01% -0.01% - -0.01% -0.01% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SGOV Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.4% win rate and +0.00% average gain, SGOV alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SGOV for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SGOV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SGOV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SGOV historically offers an average upside of +0.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SGOV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.4%, SGOV shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SGOV shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at +0.00%). This suggests SGOV is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.