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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SMCL

Trade-Ideas alerts 52.7% at 60-min n=94 2025-02-12 → 2026-10-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 94 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

GraniteShares 2x Long SMCI Daily ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 10, 2024
Total alerts
94
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
52.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
+0.53%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+6.48%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SMCL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 45.7%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.62%
Avg Loser: -1.45%
Best: +6.33%
Worst: -8.53%
Trades: 43/49

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +2.79%
Avg Loser: -2.56%
Best: +10.34%
Worst: -7.80%
Trades: 47/47

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.1%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +3.79%
Avg Loser: -3.02%
Best: +12.75%
Worst: -10.00%
Trades: 49/44

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.7%
Avg Gain: +0.53%
Avg Winner: +4.69%
Avg Loser: -4.20%
Best: +18.14%
Worst: -18.39%
Trades: 49/43

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.9%
Avg Gain: +0.95%
Avg Winner: +6.77%
Avg Loser: -4.64%
Best: +20.64%
Worst: -11.55%
Trades: 46/48

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.48%
Best MFE: +22.84%
Avg Time to MFE: 141 min

On average, SMCL alerts reach +6.48% profit potential within 141 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.44%
Worst MAE: -11.28%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.65:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.65x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 94 alerts, SMCL typically reaches +6.48% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 94
Gap Up % 43.6%
Avg Gap +0.04%
Best Gap +3.45%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SMCL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $20.75 -1.25% +0.14% +3.23% +7.64% +4.19% +8.39% -1.98% +0.24% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $20.3 -0.64% -4.88% -6.26% -6.38% -5.37% +1.97% -1.48% -0.25% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $20.26 -0.10% +3.06% +5.39% +4.15% +5.48% +7.70% -0.37% -0.25% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $20.31 +0.72% -3.32% -1.94% -2.21% -2.98% +2.73% -5.91% +1.41% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $19.09 -1.73% -1.10% +1.75% +2.99% +2.19% +4.50% -3.35% -0.42% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $14.92 -0.11% +4.62% +5.99% +4.38% +5.52% +7.47% -0.64% +0.09% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $16.55 -2.18% -2.36% -0.48% -0.91% -4.83% +3.00% -6.77% -0.79% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $18.78 +2.24% +6.12% +5.43% +6.87% +2.66% +9.16% +0.00% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $17.57 -1.32% +2.21% +3.06% +5.97% +6.43% +13.05% -1.94% -0.38% LOSS
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $15.99 -0.57% -1.53% +0.21% +0.40% +7.37% +9.01% -4.32% +0.00% LOSS
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $15.81 +0.06% +0.13% +5.44% - +5.44% +6.93% -0.78% +1.45% WIN
2026-08-26 09:25:00 $17.4 +0.52% -0.92% +0.59% -1.64% -2.89% +1.32% -2.30% +0.57% WIN
2026-08-24 09:25:00 $16.0 -0.81% -4.25% -10.00% -9.44% -6.00% +2.25% -1.69% +1.47% LOSS
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $16.58 +4.41% +7.14% +0.99% +3.34% -1.60% +10.34% -0.82% +0.84% WIN
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $16.93 +0.53% -0.41% -4.19% -2.60% -3.01% +2.89% -7.50% +0.18% WIN
2026-08-17 09:25:00 $18.91 -0.01% -4.81% -3.86% -2.49% -4.87% +1.64% +0.48% +0.32% LOSS
2026-08-14 09:25:00 $18.9 +2.43% +5.34% +4.44% +3.31% +3.23% +7.14% -1.01% +0.53% WIN
2026-08-13 09:25:00 $18.0 +1.56% +6.00% +7.06% +18.14% +5.33% +21.11% -1.61% +0.17% WIN
2026-08-11 09:25:00 $13.05 +0.08% +0.15% -2.15% -1.07% -2.30% +1.38% -3.14% -0.46% WIN
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $12.96 +6.33% +1.43% +3.86% +4.78% -3.01% +8.18% -1.54% +0.31% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 52.7% Baseline on SMCL

The 52.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push SMCL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SMCL Strategy →

Why Analyze SMCL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SMCL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SMCL historically offers an average upside of +6.48% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SMCL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.7%, SMCL shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SMCL performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.53%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.