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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SOFX

Trade-Ideas alerts 47.5% at 5-min n=101 2026-01-12 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Defiance Daily Target 2X Long SOFI ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 15, 2025
Total alerts
101
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
47.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.21%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.28%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SOFX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +1.10%
Avg Loser: -1.45%
Best: +3.23%
Worst: -7.34%
Trades: 48/51

15MIN

Win Rate: 36.6%
Avg Gain: -0.68%
Avg Winner: +2.61%
Avg Loser: -2.66%
Best: +6.94%
Worst: -12.67%
Trades: 37/62

30MIN

Win Rate: 38.6%
Avg Gain: -0.81%
Avg Winner: +3.13%
Avg Loser: -3.28%
Best: +10.30%
Worst: -12.93%
Trades: 39/62

60MIN

Win Rate: 39.6%
Avg Gain: -1.08%
Avg Winner: +3.20%
Avg Loser: -3.89%
Best: +10.85%
Worst: -17.07%
Trades: 40/61

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.6%
Avg Gain: -0.84%
Avg Winner: +4.61%
Avg Loser: -5.05%
Best: +14.19%
Worst: -21.20%
Trades: 44/57

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.28%
Best MFE: +14.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 112 min

On average, SOFX alerts reach +4.28% profit potential within 112 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.67%
Worst MAE: -8.23%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.67%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.56:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.56x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 101 alerts, SOFX typically reaches +4.28% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 101
Gap Up % 40.6%
Avg Gap -0.18%
Best Gap +2.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SOFX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $7.25 +0.69% -2.07% -2.34% -1.72% -4.28% +1.66% -0.28% +0.28% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $6.94 +0.72% +1.87% +1.08% -0.81% +1.15% +3.62% +0.00% +0.43% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $7.15 +0.14% -0.84% +0.14% +0.70% -3.36% +2.38% -1.75% -0.14% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $7.26 -1.52% -0.07% +0.14% +0.69% -1.93% +1.52% -1.65% -0.14% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $7.49 +1.00% -0.87% -1.74% -1.94% -4.94% +1.13% -0.13% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $7.96 -0.50% -1.38% -1.00% -1.13% -2.89% +1.19% -2.39% -0.63% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $7.69 -0.39% -2.08% -3.12% -2.02% +3.51% +4.16% -3.64% -0.72% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $8.19 +0.24% +0.00% -0.73% -1.71% -5.37% +1.10% -0.37% +0.73% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $8.98 -0.11% -2.12% -7.52% -8.09% -6.90% +1.67% -0.38% +0.78% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $8.62 -0.35% -3.37% -6.26% -4.35% -5.42% +0.58% -0.58% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $8.04 +0.87% -1.80% -0.68% +0.37% +1.49% +2.49% -1.99% +0.12% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $8.48 -0.12% -3.66% -5.19% -5.07% -6.25% +1.06% +0.24% -0.24% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $8.22 +2.65% +4.14% +4.01% +3.89% +7.79% +9.18% -0.24% +0.24% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $8.59 +0.35% -0.94% -1.40% -0.35% -0.23% +1.75% -2.68% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $8.31 -0.75% +0.60% +0.60% +3.73% +1.68% +3.91% -1.32% -0.12% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $9.42 +1.06% -1.59% -0.21% +0.37% +1.23% +2.39% -1.70% +0.32% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $9.33 +3.11% +6.46% +3.97% +2.25% +5.57% +7.82% -0.32% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $8.35 -0.90% +1.80% +5.03% +9.58% +9.94% +10.96% -0.90% +0.84% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $8.98 -1.65% -1.34% -2.34% -0.22% -6.44% +0.67% -1.67% -0.33% LOSS
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $9.18 +0.27% -0.24% -2.07% -0.33% +1.09% +1.80% -2.72% -0.22% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ SOFX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.5% win rate and -0.21% average gain, SOFX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SOFX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SOFX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SOFX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SOFX historically offers an average upside of +4.28% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SOFX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.5%, SOFX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SOFX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SOFX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.21%). This suggests SOFX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.