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Latest signal:

SOXS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 759 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Mar 11, 2010
📊
759
Total Alerts
🎯
66.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+697.31%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.07%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.8%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +4.48%
Worst: -3.86%
Trades: 354/386

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.9%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.56%
Avg Loser: -1.42%
Best: +6.45%
Worst: -5.71%
Trades: 370/381

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +2.01%
Avg Loser: -1.94%
Best: +9.11%
Worst: -9.22%
Trades: 372/378

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +2.43%
Avg Loser: -2.50%
Best: +13.59%
Worst: -11.10%
Trades: 386/365

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.8%
Avg Gain: +697.31%
Avg Winner: +1046.70%
Avg Loser: -4.26%
Best: +11402.06%
Worst: -17.44%
Trades: 506/251

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.07%
Best MFE: +21.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 142 min

On average, SOXS alerts reach +4.07% profit potential within 142 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.44%
Worst MAE: -10.18%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.83:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.83x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 759 alerts, SOXS typically reaches +4.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 759
Gap Up % 44.8%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +1.44%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SOXS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:14 $19.35 +0.57% -0.31% +0.51% -0.26% -0.31% +1.24% -1.03% +0.10% WIN
2025-02-13 09:28:52 $20.01 -1.90% -0.48% -1.85% -2.17% -3.65% +0.45% -0.05% +0.20% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:26 $20.92 +0.75% -1.51% -1.12% -1.98% -4.25% +1.24% +0.05% +0.38% WIN
2025-02-11 09:26:02 $20.64 -0.70% -2.24% -3.75% -3.00% -2.62% +0.10% - -0.10% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:45 $20.53 -1.51% -1.02% -1.75% -0.66% -1.95% +0.05% -0.24% -0.49% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:27:17 $19.92 -1.71% -0.60% +1.46% +2.76% +4.97% +7.10% -1.90% -0.30% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:29:06 $20.34 -1.06% +0.05% -0.20% -0.20% -1.67% +1.52% -0.25% -0.05% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:28:05 $21.27 +0.16% +0.31% +0.38% -1.00% -6.58% +2.02% -0.38% -0.09% WIN
2025-02-04 09:25:12 $21.85 -0.55% -0.32% -1.71% -3.64% -3.43% +0.86% -1.09% +0.27% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:27:21 $22.4 +0.22% -0.09% -0.20% -3.86% -3.26% +1.21% -0.67% -0.67% WIN
2025-01-31 09:26:11 $20.1 -0.97% -0.12% -1.55% -3.36% +2.54% +3.63% -5.87% +0.10% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:29:35 $20.94 +0.51% +0.14% +0.72% +1.56% -2.29% +1.98% -1.19% - WIN
2025-01-29 09:26:32 $21.17 +2.65% +2.50% +1.98% +3.13% +2.88% +6.07% -0.05% +1.04% WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:29 $21.97 +0.05% +4.53% +4.37% +1.68% +0.14% +6.76% -0.64% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-27 09:28:35 $20.79 +0.26% +0.72% -0.05% +1.06% +6.88% +10.58% -0.67% +0.24% WIN
2025-01-24 09:26:45 $17.04 +1.85% +2.58% +2.07% +2.55% +6.16% +7.22% -0.23% -0.18% WIN
2025-01-23 09:25:59 $17.6 +1.55% +1.36% +0.97% +0.23% -3.41% +1.76% +0.06% +0.57% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:50 $17.15 -1.55% -1.69% -3.59% -2.27% -1.46% +0.64% -0.41% -0.06% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:50 $17.81 +0.79% +1.54% +1.18% +0.67% -0.90% +2.81% -0.17% +0.06% WIN
2025-01-17 09:26:36 $18.81 -0.37% -0.66% -0.16% +0.27% -2.55% +0.90% -1.38% -1.12% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.8% Baseline on SOXS

The 66.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SOXS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SOXS Strategy →

Why Analyze SOXS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SOXS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SOXS historically offers an average upside of +4.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SOXS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.8%, SOXS shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SOXS performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +697.31%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.