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Latest signal:

SSL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 32 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-12 → 2025-02-06

⚠️ Small sample size (32 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Sasol Limited
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 26, 1982 🔗 www.sasol.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.60B 👥 Employees: 27,411
Sasol Ltd operates as a vertically integrated chemicals and energy company through its two main businesses: the Southern Africa Energy & Chemicals business and the International Chemical business. It generates maximum revenue from the Southern Africa Energy & Chemicals business, which operates integrated value chains with feedstock sourced from the Mining and Gas operating segments. Geographically, the company generates the majority of its revenue from South Africa.
📊
32
Total Alerts
🎯
62.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.10%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.52%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +0.27%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +0.45%
Worst: -1.49%
Trades: 15/17

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.77%
Best: +0.98%
Worst: -1.69%
Trades: 15/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.1%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.81%
Avg Loser: -0.75%
Best: +1.96%
Worst: -1.81%
Trades: 17/15

60MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: +2.23%
Worst: -2.98%
Trades: 18/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.13%
Avg Loser: -2.16%
Best: +3.50%
Worst: -4.34%
Trades: 20/12

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.52%
Best MFE: +4.26%
Avg Time to MFE: 125 min

On average, SSL alerts reach +1.52% profit potential within 125 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.67%
Worst MAE: -2.38%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.67%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 32 alerts, SSL typically reaches +1.52% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 32
Gap Up % 46.9%
Avg Gap +0.07%
Best Gap +0.73%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SSL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-06 09:29:12 $4.49 -1.00% -1.22% -1.78% -1.78% -2.00% +0.22% -0.89% -0.89% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:25:48 $4.45 +0.45% +0.45% +0.45% +0.25% +2.25% +2.92% - +0.67% WIN
2025-01-27 09:28:29 $4.6 +0.43% +0.98% +1.96% +0.43% +0.43% +2.17% -0.22% +0.22% WIN
2025-01-17 09:26:13 $5.49 -0.46% -0.18% -0.36% -0.18% -1.64% +1.09% -1.82% +0.18% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:25:38 $5.05 -0.69% -1.39% -0.42% -1.09% +0.40% +1.97% -2.38% -0.69% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:29:36 $4.37 -1.49% -1.26% -1.60% - +1.14% +2.86% -1.95% - LOSS
2025-01-07 09:28:57 $4.4 +0.23% +0.34% +0.91% +2.16% +1.59% +2.50% -0.45% +0.68% WIN
2024-12-27 09:29:12 $4.47 +0.07% +0.22% +0.22% -0.56% +0.67% +1.57% -2.01% +0.67% WIN
2024-11-14 09:28:52 $5.15 +0.39% +0.97% +0.68% +2.23% +0.58% +2.62% -0.19% -0.19% WIN
2024-10-16 09:26:41 $6.51 -0.77% -0.16% -0.15% +0.38% +0.15% +0.77% -0.92% -0.61% LOSS
2024-10-15 09:29:18 $6.47 -0.31% -0.62% -0.46% -0.62% -1.55% +0.15% -0.62% - LOSS
2024-09-26 09:26:27 $6.68 +0.15% +0.15% +0.30% +0.29% +0.60% +1.80% -0.67% - WIN
2024-05-03 09:28:52 $7.03 -0.57% +0.43% +1.21% +0.21% +0.28% +1.71% -0.64% -0.43% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:25:12 $6.83 +0.29% +0.29% -0.29% +0.02% +0.44% +1.02% -0.73% +0.73% WIN
2024-04-24 09:27:06 $6.92 +0.29% +0.43% +0.72% +1.23% +2.17% +2.67% -0.29% +0.14% WIN
2024-04-23 09:29:25 $7.14 -0.42% - +0.63% +0.28% +0.42% +1.82% -0.70% +0.70% LOSS
2024-04-15 09:29:01 $8.87 -0.79% -1.69% -1.13% -2.37% -2.93% +0.11% -0.34% - LOSS
2024-04-12 09:27:13 $9.01 -0.22% +0.78% +0.44% -0.33% -3.55% +1.11% -0.44% - LOSS
2024-04-09 09:27:19 $9.25 -0.54% -0.59% -0.20% +0.43% -1.30% +0.86% -0.76% -0.11% LOSS
2024-04-08 09:26:37 $8.83 -0.51% -0.45% -1.59% -0.57% -1.02% +1.36% -1.64% -0.34% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SSL Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 62.5% win rate, SSL has -0.10% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SSL profitable.

🔧 Fix SSL Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze SSL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SSL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SSL historically offers an average upside of +1.52% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SSL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.5%, SSL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.16%) outweigh average wins (+1.13%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SSL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.10%). This suggests SSL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.