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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$SUGP

Trade-Ideas alerts 55.8% at EOD n=52 2024-02-12 → 2026-10-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 52 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

SU Group Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 24, 2024 🔗 www.sugroup.com.hk
💰 Market Cap: $6.4M 👥 Employees: 437
SU Group Holdings Ltd and its subsidiaries is an integrated security-related services company. The company has two reportable segments: security-related engineering services, and security guarding and screening services and related vocational training services. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the security-related engineering services segment. Geographically operates in Hong Kong, and Other foreign countries, with maximum revenue from Kong Kong.
Total alerts
52
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
55.8%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.55%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+14.50%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading SUGP on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -1.02%
Avg Winner: +1.67%
Avg Loser: -2.91%
Best: +5.46%
Worst: -12.16%
Trades: 21/30

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -1.63%
Avg Winner: +3.30%
Avg Loser: -5.27%
Best: +7.89%
Worst: -28.29%
Trades: 21/29

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.9%
Avg Gain: -1.36%
Avg Winner: +4.49%
Avg Loser: -6.13%
Best: +13.01%
Worst: -45.86%
Trades: 22/27

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.8%
Avg Gain: -1.66%
Avg Winner: +6.43%
Avg Loser: -8.78%
Best: +15.83%
Worst: -44.79%
Trades: 22/25

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.8%
Avg Gain: -0.55%
Avg Winner: +11.13%
Avg Loser: -15.28%
Best: +42.23%
Worst: -58.55%
Trades: 29/23

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +14.50%
Best MFE: +104.29%
Avg Time to MFE: 138 min

On average, SUGP alerts reach +14.50% profit potential within 138 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.92%
Worst MAE: -39.09%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.92%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.95:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.95x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 52 alerts, SUGP typically reaches +14.50% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 11.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 52
Gap Up % 34.6%
Avg Gap -0.16%
Best Gap +4.85%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SUGP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $0.4 -1.50% +4.33% +2.02% -0.97% +3.42% +7.29% -8.61% +2.17% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $0.47 -0.32% -0.73% +1.41% +4.01% +6.72% +6.72% -1.60% +0.32% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $0.5 -1.12% -0.14% -1.92% -0.37% +5.79% +6.65% -3.81% +1.06% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $0.57 +0.56% -0.42% -4.27% -2.06% -2.80% +15.43% -6.52% -0.16% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $0.46 -0.58% -1.17% +4.02% +9.98% +7.45% +14.47% -2.44% -0.58% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $0.59 +0.51% +0.69% -0.42% -2.00% -16.07% +3.14% -2.03% +3.14% WIN
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $1.06 -4.72% +0.00% +1.90% -19.79% -38.07% +15.09% -8.79% -0.94% LOSS
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $0.68 -2.73% -4.33% -4.58% - -7.40% -1.15% -5.66% -5.66% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $0.72 -1.31% -3.51% -4.07% -5.46% -9.37% +0.10% -2.68% -2.68% LOSS
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $0.8 -1.21% -2.46% -5.09% -4.59% -6.21% -0.04% -1.21% -1.20% LOSS
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $0.8 -0.59% -1.21% -1.37% -0.58% -0.60% +4.68% -3.08% -0.58% LOSS
2026-08-26 09:25:00 $1.19 +0.42% -5.70% -5.04% -2.10% -15.97% +1.68% -0.84% +1.68% WIN
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $1.1 +2.27% +3.64% +4.21% +10.95% +5.45% +11.82% +0.00% +3.64% WIN
2026-08-24 09:25:00 $1.45 -3.10% -6.21% -9.66% -10.00% -7.59% +2.07% -3.79% -1.38% LOSS
2026-08-21 09:25:00 $3.86 -4.40% +1.81% -1.55% -10.62% -58.55% +10.10% -7.25% -0.78% LOSS
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $2.66 +1.13% +7.89% +11.28% +12.03% +4.32% +27.07% -1.50% -0.75% WIN
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $2.4 -1.25% -3.19% -2.08% -4.58% +13.75% +20.00% -9.17% +0.00% LOSS
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $2.13 -3.99% -9.39% -4.93% -1.88% -3.29% +0.94% -10.80% -3.76% LOSS
2026-08-07 09:25:00 $1.95 -3.43% +6.33% +13.01% +11.45% +6.84% +15.57% -3.43% +1.71% LOSS
2026-08-05 09:25:00 $0.37 -0.67% -1.47% +0.67% -0.35% +2.06% +7.55% -1.47% -0.51% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ SUGP Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 55.8% win rate, SUGP has -0.55% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making SUGP profitable.

🔧 Fix SUGP Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze SUGP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SUGP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SUGP historically offers an average upside of +14.50% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SUGP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.8%, SUGP shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-15.28%) outweigh average wins (+11.13%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SUGP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.55%). This suggests SUGP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.