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TALK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 14 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2024-10-29

⚠️ Small sample size (14 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Talkspace, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-HEALTH SERVICES (SIC 8000)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 23, 2021 🔗 www.talkspace.com
💰 Market Cap: $670.9M 👥 Employees: 521
Talkspace Inc is a behavioral healthcare company offering access to licensed therapists, psychologists, and psychiatrists through its technology platform. It serves clients including health plans, enterprises, and individual subscribers. Therapists address various mental health conditions, while psychiatrists cater to a higher acuity demographic. Revenue stems from payor and direct-to-enterprise clients, with contracts lasting one to three years. The majority of the Company's operations and revenues are based in the United States.
📊
14
Total Alerts
🎯
42.9%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.10%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+7.20%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +2.91%
Avg Loser: -2.67%
Best: +4.73%
Worst: -4.50%
Trades: 6/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 35.7%
Avg Gain: -0.75%
Avg Winner: +3.61%
Avg Loser: -3.57%
Best: +5.01%
Worst: -7.50%
Trades: 5/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +4.38%
Avg Loser: -2.98%
Best: +9.07%
Worst: -7.00%
Trades: 6/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 35.7%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +6.34%
Avg Loser: -2.97%
Best: +11.33%
Worst: -9.50%
Trades: 5/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +1.21%
Avg Winner: +8.46%
Avg Loser: -4.22%
Best: +16.06%
Worst: -14.50%
Trades: 6/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.20%
Best MFE: +22.26%
Avg Time to MFE: 68 min

On average, TALK alerts reach +7.20% profit potential within 68 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.70%
Worst MAE: -9.20%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.24:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.24x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 14 alerts, TALK typically reaches +7.20% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 14
Gap Up % 28.6%
Avg Gap -0.51%
Best Gap +3.70%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-HEALTH SERVICES

How TALK compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TALK: +0.10% Sector: -0.28% +0.39%
EOD Gain
TALK: +1.21% Sector: +254.76% -253.54%
Avg MFE
TALK: +7.20% Sector: +14.39% -7.19%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TALK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-29 09:29:39 $2.74 - +0.73% +4.20% +6.75% +16.06% +22.26% -4.38% -1.46% -
2024-09-20 09:28:38 $2.2 -0.23% -1.14% -0.68% -2.05% -0.45% +3.64% -0.91% -0.68% LOSS
2024-09-19 09:25:09 $2.15 +0.23% -1.36% -3.49% -2.56% -2.33% +2.56% -1.40% -0.47% WIN
2024-09-18 09:27:42 $2.18 -3.21% -4.64% -2.52% -3.36% -6.42% +0.92% -1.38% -0.46% LOSS
2024-02-22 09:25:18 $2.61 +2.68% +4.98% +3.64% +2.68% +5.75% +9.20% - +1.92% WIN
2023-11-01 09:25:00 $1.86 -3.23% -4.84% -4.84% -4.30% -3.23% -2.15% -2.15% -5.38% LOSS
2023-10-26 09:26:00 $2.0 -4.50% -7.50% -7.00% -9.50% -14.50% +2.50% - +0.50% LOSS
2023-09-19 09:28:00 $1.92 +4.73% +4.95% +0.51% +3.91% +4.69% +9.38% -1.04% -1.04% WIN
2023-07-27 09:25:00 $1.63 -4.29% -3.68% -0.31% -1.83% +4.29% +11.04% -9.20% -2.45% LOSS
2022-11-29 09:25:00 $0.76 +4.36% +5.01% +8.30% +11.33% +16.04% +17.50% +2.39% +3.70% WIN
2022-11-28 09:25:00 $0.76 +3.71% - +9.07% +7.01% +3.95% +14.79% -3.80% -1.91% WIN
2022-10-28 09:25:00 $0.75 - -2.53% -1.33% -0.59% -0.63% +5.44% -1.33% - -
2022-01-12 09:25:00 $1.7 +1.76% +2.35% +0.59% -0.59% -1.76% +2.65% - - WIN
2022-01-10 09:25:00 $1.79 -0.56% -2.89% -3.63% -1.96% -4.47% +1.12% -0.56% +0.56% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 42.9% Baseline on TALK

The 42.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TALK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TALK Strategy →

Why Analyze TALK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TALK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TALK historically offers an average upside of +7.20% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TALK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.9%, TALK shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TALK performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.10%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.