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THC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-28 → 2023-04-25

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.tenethealth.com
💰 Market Cap: $16.59B 👥 Employees: 98,000
Tenet Healthcare is a Dallas-based healthcare services organization. It operates acute and specialty hospitals (47 as of December 2024) and over 500 ambulatory surgery centers and other outpatient facilities across the US, primarily in the South. Through its Conifer segment, Tenet also provides revenue cycle management solutions.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.36%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.92%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.36%
Avg Winner: +0.54%
Avg Loser: -0.01%
Best: +0.64%
Worst: -0.01%
Trades: 4/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.62%
Avg Winner: +1.03%
Avg Loser: -1.44%
Best: +1.11%
Worst: -3.35%
Trades: 2/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.72%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.77%
Best: +2.07%
Worst: -3.43%
Trades: 2/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.95%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -2.83%
Best: +2.11%
Worst: -3.68%
Trades: 3/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -2.07%
Avg Winner: +3.02%
Avg Loser: -4.62%
Best: +3.33%
Worst: -6.99%
Trades: 2/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.92%
Best MFE: +3.71%
Avg Time to MFE: 146 min

On average, THC alerts reach +1.92% profit potential within 146 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.92%
Worst MAE: -4.12%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.92%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.09:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.09x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, THC typically reaches +1.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.06%
Best Gap +0.52%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-GENERAL MEDICAL & SURGICAL HOSPITALS, NEC

How THC compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
THC: +0.36% Sector: +0.14% +0.22%
EOD Gain
THC: -2.07% Sector: +0.30% -2.37%
Avg MFE
THC: +1.92% Sector: +3.00% -1.08%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical THC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-04-25 09:27:00 $72.0 -0.01% -0.11% -0.74% +0.58% -1.61% +1.83% -1.67% +0.01% LOSS
2022-10-21 09:25:00 $40.32 +0.55% -3.35% -0.93% -2.88% -6.99% +1.69% -4.12% +0.10% WIN
2022-08-16 09:25:00 $66.61 - -1.20% -1.98% -1.94% -3.23% - - - -
2022-07-22 09:25:00 $67.61 +0.64% -1.09% -3.43% -3.68% -6.64% +1.32% +1.32% -0.04% WIN
2022-06-23 09:25:00 $54.28 +0.52% +0.96% +0.72% +0.12% +2.71% +2.98% -0.79% +0.52% WIN
2022-02-28 09:25:00 $83.22 +0.48% +1.11% +2.07% +2.11% +3.33% +3.71% -0.25% -0.23% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on THC

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push THC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize THC Strategy →

Why Analyze THC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for THC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, THC historically offers an average upside of +1.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 THC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, THC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show THC performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.36%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.