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TKC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 36 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-05 → 2024-11-12

⚠️ Small sample size (36 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

TURKCELL ILETISIM HIZMETLERI A.S. ADS
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 11, 2000 🔗 www.turkcell.com.tr
💰 Market Cap: $5.76B 👥 Employees: 22,228
Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS provides mobile telephone services in Turkey. The firm's services portfolio includes high-quality mobile and fixed voice, data, TV, and digital services over its network. The firm also operates in the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, Belarus, the Netherlands, and Ukraine. It has three main reportable segments: Turkcell Turkiye, Turkcell International, and Techfin. The Turkcell Turkiye segment, which derives the majority of revenue, comprises mainly telecommunication and technology services activities.
📊
36
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.05%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.35%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.6%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +2.07%
Worst: -3.61%
Trades: 11/15

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.71%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +2.55%
Worst: -1.73%
Trades: 18/16

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +3.35%
Worst: -2.28%
Trades: 15/19

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +0.90%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +2.95%
Worst: -4.37%
Trades: 15/20

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 37.1%
Avg Gain: -0.55%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -1.66%
Best: +3.61%
Worst: -4.08%
Trades: 13/20

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.35%
Best MFE: +3.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 51 min

On average, TKC alerts reach +1.35% profit potential within 51 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.76%
Worst MAE: -3.97%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.76%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.79:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 36 alerts, TKC typically reaches +1.35% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 36
Gap Up % 47.2%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +2.92%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TKC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-12 09:27:26 $6.8 +0.59% +0.74% +0.96% -0.07% +0.29% +0.96% - - WIN
2024-08-20 09:26:25 $7.53 -0.80% -1.73% -1.39% -2.32% -3.19% -0.40% -1.06% -0.93% LOSS
2024-08-19 09:26:20 $7.75 -0.52% -0.45% -1.03% -1.42% -2.19% -0.13% -0.26% -0.26% LOSS
2024-08-15 09:27:42 $7.58 +1.72% +1.45% +1.32% +1.78% +0.26% +2.24% +1.06% +1.45% WIN
2024-08-01 09:27:47 $7.99 +0.19% +0.13% -0.31% -0.88% -1.00% +0.50% - +0.13% WIN
2024-07-26 09:28:34 $7.99 +0.06% -0.19% -0.38% -0.56% -0.63% +0.13% -0.38% -0.25% WIN
2024-07-24 09:26:31 $8.02 +0.06% +0.06% -0.12% +0.06% -1.50% +1.00% +0.12% +0.12% WIN
2024-07-22 09:26:44 $8.23 +2.07% +0.50% +0.12% +0.30% -0.49% +2.92% +0.24% +2.92% WIN
2024-07-19 09:25:33 $8.28 -0.48% -0.62% -0.97% -1.03% -2.29% -0.42% -0.97% -0.97% LOSS
2024-07-11 09:27:20 $8.26 +0.97% +0.61% +0.73% -0.12% -0.73% +1.21% +0.24% +0.61% WIN
2024-07-08 09:27:04 $8.32 -0.84% -0.84% -0.96% -1.68% -2.52% +0.96% -2.64% +0.96% LOSS
2024-04-26 09:28:20 $6.0 - +0.08% -0.08% +0.00% -0.33% +1.08% -0.25% -0.17% -
2023-01-17 09:27:00 $4.9 - -0.82% -0.84% -2.45% -4.08% +1.02% - +0.20% -
2023-01-06 09:28:00 $5.1 +0.78% +2.55% +1.37% -0.98% -0.39% +3.90% -0.20% +0.78% WIN
2023-01-04 09:27:00 $5.08 -0.20% -0.20% +3.35% +2.95% +2.76% +3.64% -0.98% +0.20% LOSS
2023-01-03 09:29:00 $5.26 -0.19% +0.29% -2.28% -4.37% -1.90% +1.05% -1.90% -1.90% LOSS
2022-12-27 09:25:00 $4.79 -3.34% -0.21% -0.71% -0.94% -1.04% +2.51% -3.97% -1.88% LOSS
2022-11-29 09:25:00 $4.4 +0.45% +2.16% +1.82% +1.14% +0.23% +2.27% - +0.45% WIN
2022-11-25 09:25:00 $4.45 -2.25% +0.11% -0.56% +0.47% +0.67% +1.69% -2.25% -1.80% LOSS
2022-11-11 09:25:00 $4.44 -0.90% -0.90% -2.06% -3.60% -2.03% +0.24% -2.70% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on TKC

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TKC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TKC Strategy →

Why Analyze TKC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TKC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TKC historically offers an average upside of +1.35% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TKC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, TKC shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TKC performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.