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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$TMDE

Trade-Ideas alerts 46.4% at 15-min n=57 2026-01-06 → 2026-09-10

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 57 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

TMD Energy Limited
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Apr 21, 2025 🔗 www.tmdel.com
💰 Market Cap: $23.6M
TMD Energy Ltd is engaged in marine fuel bunkering services specializing in the supply and marketing of marine gas oil and marine fuel oil (including high sulfur fuel oil, low sulfur fuel oil and very low sulfur fuel oil), to ships and vessels at sea. It is also involved in the provision of ship management services for in-house and external vessels, as well as vessel chartering. It is currently operating with a fleet of nearly 15 bunkering vessels ranging from 540 dwt to 7,820 dwt, of which nearly nine (9) are double bottom and double hull vessels with an average cargo-carrying capacity of approximately 4,200 dwt each.
Total alerts
57
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
46.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.28%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+8.01%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading TMDE on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.1%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +1.80%
Avg Loser: -2.10%
Best: +12.99%
Worst: -9.26%
Trades: 20/33

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.4%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +2.52%
Avg Loser: -2.89%
Best: +7.87%
Worst: -8.98%
Trades: 26/28

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.1%
Avg Gain: -1.12%
Avg Winner: +3.16%
Avg Loser: -4.36%
Best: +9.30%
Worst: -26.58%
Trades: 24/32

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.1%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +6.19%
Avg Loser: -5.25%
Best: +32.04%
Worst: -24.84%
Trades: 23/31

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 38.6%
Avg Gain: -1.80%
Avg Winner: +6.08%
Avg Loser: -7.88%
Best: +19.83%
Worst: -29.04%
Trades: 22/30

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.01%
Best MFE: +37.46%
Avg Time to MFE: 118 min

On average, TMDE alerts reach +8.01% profit potential within 118 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.29%
Worst MAE: -21.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.44:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.44x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 57 alerts, TMDE typically reaches +8.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 57
Gap Up % 36.8%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +5.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TMDE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $0.85 -4.51% -4.89% -3.67% -10.67% -8.80% +0.00% -0.99% -5.59% LOSS
2026-07-31 09:25:00 $0.78 -0.01% +1.73% +6.08% +1.13% +0.72% +7.24% -0.01% -0.01% LOSS
2026-07-29 09:25:00 $0.78 -3.42% +7.87% -0.99% +0.40% +1.28% +7.87% -3.42% -3.42% LOSS
2026-07-27 09:25:00 $0.79 +1.99% +3.76% +4.56% +2.49% +1.21% +9.87% +1.95% +5.01% WIN
2026-07-24 09:25:00 $1.01 -2.86% -1.00% -3.26% -4.95% -6.79% -0.99% -5.94% -2.97% LOSS
2026-07-20 09:25:00 $0.88 -2.25% -3.40% -5.10% -0.01% +2.28% +2.28% -6.58% -1.00% LOSS
2026-07-14 09:25:00 $0.92 +0.01% +0.76% -5.42% -3.38% -2.17% +0.76% -0.78% +0.29% WIN
2026-07-13 09:25:00 $0.83 -1.12% +1.22% +2.18% +6.22% +15.32% +18.69% -2.49% -0.11% LOSS
2026-07-09 09:25:00 $0.83 -2.40% -2.48% -3.99% -1.14% -1.42% +2.29% +2.29% +2.01% LOSS
2026-07-08 09:25:00 $0.87 +0.10% +3.08% +6.90% +9.21% +4.51% +20.69% -1.10% +1.15% WIN
2026-06-30 09:25:00 $0.76 +1.03% -2.37% -1.32% -3.54% +1.16% +2.63% -3.55% +1.03% WIN
2026-06-16 09:25:00 $0.71 -0.07% -0.04% +2.04% -6.01% -2.53% +2.84% -0.57% -0.57% LOSS
2026-06-15 09:25:00 $0.79 +1.36% -2.20% -7.82% -7.67% -6.88% +2.33% -2.20% +1.36% WIN
2026-06-11 09:25:00 $1.06 +1.76% +6.48% +9.30% +21.08% +1.76% +36.62% -1.54% +1.76% WIN
2026-06-10 09:25:00 $0.87 +3.92% +5.20% +6.35% +3.71% +4.06% +12.97% -5.09% +1.65% WIN
2026-06-08 09:25:00 $0.68 -2.54% -0.76% +3.06% +19.02% +15.30% +34.52% -2.54% +2.42% LOSS
2026-05-28 09:25:00 $0.77 -2.04% -1.75% -1.18% -1.68% +5.92% +6.36% -5.30% -1.95% LOSS
2026-05-11 09:25:00 $1.0 +0.00% +0.50% +1.96% +1.00% +0.00% +3.00% -0.05% +0.00% LOSS
2026-05-06 09:25:00 $1.09 -0.46% -2.29% -1.83% +0.92% -2.75% +2.75% +0.92% +0.92% LOSS
2026-05-01 09:25:00 $1.23 -0.55% +0.02% -1.61% - +3.27% +4.08% -3.24% +0.02% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ TMDE Shows Negative Expectancy

With 46.4% win rate and -0.28% average gain, TMDE alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TMDE for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TMDE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TMDE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TMDE historically offers an average upside of +8.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TMDE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.4%, TMDE shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TMDE may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TMDE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.28%). This suggests TMDE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.