TMDE Analysis: 45.5% Win Rate

Ticker Report — Active Last signal · May 28, 2026

🏢 Company Profile

TMD Energy Limited

📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Apr 21, 2025 🔗 www.tmdel.com

💰 Market Cap: $23.6M

TMD Energy Ltd is engaged in marine fuel bunkering services specializing in the supply and marketing of marine gas oil and marine fuel oil (including high sulfur fuel oil, low sulfur fuel oil and very low sulfur fuel oil), to ships and vessels at sea. It is also involved in the provision of ship management services for in-house and external vessels, as well as vessel chartering. It is currently operating with a fleet of nearly 15 bunkering vessels ranging from 540 dwt to 7,820 dwt, of which nearly nine (9) are double bottom and double hull vessels with an average cargo-carrying capacity of approximately 4,200 dwt each.

Total alerts

Trade-Ideas signal history

Win rate · 15MIN

45.5%

Best timeframe baseline

Avg gain · 15MIN

-0.12%

Per-alert expectancy

Best trade

+2.97%

Single-alert top outcome

Practice trading TMDE on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%

Avg Gain: -0.18%

Avg Winner: +0.69%

Avg Loser: -0.96%

Best: +3.06%

Worst: -2.68%

Trades: 22/26

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%

Avg Gain: -0.12%

Avg Winner: +1.26%

Avg Loser: -1.54%

Best: +2.97%

Worst: -5.22%

Trades: 25/25

30MIN

Win Rate: 27.3%

Avg Gain: -0.43%

Avg Winner: +2.82%

Avg Loser: -1.83%

Best: +7.10%

Worst: -7.00%

Trades: 15/36

60MIN

Win Rate: 34.5%

Avg Gain: -0.69%

Avg Winner: +2.55%

Avg Loser: -2.71%

Best: +11.11%

Worst: -10.45%

Trades: 19/32

🎯 Top Alert Patterns

Rsi oversold

Alerts 2

Win Rate 0.0%

Avg Gain -0.83%

Rsi overbought

Alerts 6

Win Rate 33.3%

Avg Gain -0.70%

Above sma200

Alerts 49

Win Rate 38.8%

Avg Gain -0.23%

Below sma200

Alerts 4

Win Rate 50.0%

Avg Gain +0.79%

📅 Recent Activity

Last 7 Days

55 alerts

Win Rate: 40.0%

Avg Gain: -0.18%

Last 30 Days

55 alerts

Win Rate: 40.0%

Avg Gain: -0.18%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TMDE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date	Time	Price	5min	15min	30min	60min	EOD	MFE	MAE	Gap	Result
2026-05-28	None	$0.77	-0.17%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-05-15	None	$0.88	+0.00%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-05-12	None	$1.0	+0.01%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-05-11	None	$1.0	-1.01%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-05-06	None	$1.09	-2.68%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-05-04	None	$1.23	-0.81%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-05-01	None	$1.23	+0.79%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-04-30	None	$1.26	-0.74%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-04-29	None	$1.26	+0.32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-04-28	None	$1.2	+0.82%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-04-27	None	$1.21	+0.00%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-04-24	None	$1.27	+0.00%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-04-23	None	$1.26	+0.00%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-04-22	None	$1.29	-0.29%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-04-21	None	$1.21	+0.02%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-04-20	None	$1.2	-0.02%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-04-17	None	$1.17	+0.00%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-04-15	None	$1.28	+0.05%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	WIN
2026-04-14	None	$1.38	-0.64%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS
2026-04-13	None	$1.57	-0.61%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ TMDE Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.5% win rate and -0.12% average gain, TMDE alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TMDE for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TMDE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TMDE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TMDE historically offers an average upside of +0.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TMDE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.5%, TMDE shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TMDE may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TMDE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.12%). This suggests TMDE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.

$TMDE