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TOPS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 69 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2023-09-28

⚠️ Small sample size (69 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

TOP Ships Inc.
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Jul 23, 2004 🔗 www.topships.org
💰 Market Cap: $23.6M 👥 Employees: 170
TOP Ships Inc owns tanker vessels throughout the world. The Company is an international owner and operator of modern, fuel-efficient eco tanker vessels focusing on the transportation of crude oil, petroleum products (clean and dirty), and bulk liquid chemicals. It generates revenue from the Time Charter agreements.
📊
69
Total Alerts
🎯
71.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+3428.77%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+11.75%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 31.9%
Avg Gain: -0.86%
Avg Winner: +1.86%
Avg Loser: -2.24%
Best: +10.36%
Worst: -11.11%
Trades: 22/45

15MIN

Win Rate: 30.4%
Avg Gain: -1.22%
Avg Winner: +3.44%
Avg Loser: -3.34%
Best: +22.17%
Worst: -16.67%
Trades: 21/47

30MIN

Win Rate: 27.5%
Avg Gain: -1.32%
Avg Winner: +6.05%
Avg Loser: -4.21%
Best: +20.64%
Worst: -15.48%
Trades: 19/49

60MIN

Win Rate: 34.8%
Avg Gain: -0.78%
Avg Winner: +8.12%
Avg Loser: -5.65%
Best: +32.60%
Worst: -19.53%
Trades: 24/44

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 71.0%
Avg Gain: +3428.77%
Avg Winner: +4831.15%
Avg Loser: -7.07%
Best: +28508.00%
Worst: -38.08%
Trades: 49/20

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +11.75%
Best MFE: +105.38%
Avg Time to MFE: 74 min

On average, TOPS alerts reach +11.75% profit potential within 74 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.36%
Worst MAE: -22.34%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.36%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.5:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.5x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 69 alerts, TOPS typically reaches +11.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 69
Gap Up % 43.5%
Avg Gap -0.13%
Best Gap +3.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TOPS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-09-28 09:27:00 $0.59 +1.69% +1.69% +1.51% -1.36% -0.73% +5.07% - - WIN
2023-08-07 09:29:00 $0.73 -2.74% -3.29% -2.74% -3.98% -5.35% +0.96% -1.10% +0.54% LOSS
2023-08-04 09:25:00 $0.77 -0.62% -1.91% -5.61% -5.78% +1046.10% +7.10% -3.11% -3.11% LOSS
2023-08-03 09:26:00 $0.69 +1.43% +2.88% +0.58% +3.97% -1.32% +5.78% -1.45% +2.52% WIN
2023-07-21 09:28:00 $0.7 -1.43% -1.26% -0.71% -2.50% +1073.43% +2.84% -1.43% +1.31% LOSS
2023-07-20 09:27:00 $0.73 +0.68% -2.59% -2.47% +1.30% +1044.34% +2.32% -4.30% -0.41% WIN
2023-06-21 09:25:00 $0.71 -3.54% -6.34% -7.89% -5.63% +1012.11% -2.34% -4.01% -4.23% LOSS
2023-06-02 09:25:00 $0.71 -3.51% -0.99% +1.13% +0.71% -1.43% +1.84% -3.51% - LOSS
2023-04-03 09:25:00 $0.9 -2.08% -1.20% -0.86% -2.19% +1061.85% +0.03% -1.11% -0.51% LOSS
2023-03-27 09:28:00 $0.85 +0.66% +0.01% +2.76% +1.41% +1146.48% +5.05% -2.00% -2.00% WIN
2023-03-15 09:27:00 $0.86 -1.16% -2.33% -2.66% -0.02% -2.33% +2.33% -4.07% -1.16% LOSS
2023-03-14 09:29:00 $0.91 - +1.10% -0.25% -1.10% +1060.44% +2.13% -2.75% -1.92% -
2023-03-13 09:28:00 $0.94 -1.02% -0.52% +3.19% +5.18% -3.59% +7.45% -3.10% -2.02% LOSS
2023-03-10 09:28:00 $0.92 -2.15% -2.59% -2.28% +3.16% +1139.27% +20.67% -4.34% +0.36% LOSS
2023-03-09 09:27:00 $1.01 -2.97% +3.47% -3.94% -2.36% -8.91% +3.96% -7.92% +0.99% LOSS
2023-03-08 09:28:00 $0.89 -2.48% -2.47% -3.03% -5.10% +1312.56% +40.13% -6.95% +3.14% LOSS
2023-03-03 09:25:00 $0.89 +0.37% -0.08% +2.16% +4.41% +2.84% +6.66% -1.74% -0.30% WIN
2023-03-02 09:25:00 $0.92 -1.18% -1.72% -5.53% -4.17% +0.77% +3.16% -2.24% +3.16% LOSS
2023-03-01 09:26:00 $0.84 -1.49% -1.97% -2.64% -3.23% +1276.34% +19.47% -6.62% -5.50% LOSS
2023-02-23 09:28:00 $0.76 +3.22% +3.23% +3.69% +1.75% +4.54% +5.19% +1.12% +1.12% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 71.0% Baseline on TOPS

The 71.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TOPS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TOPS Strategy →

Why Analyze TOPS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TOPS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TOPS historically offers an average upside of +11.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TOPS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.0%, TOPS shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TOPS performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +3428.77%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.