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TRVN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 34 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-24 → 2024-06-21

⚠️ Small sample size (34 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

TREVENA INC
📍 OTC Link
TREVENA INC
📊
34
Total Alerts
🎯
70.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+18801.80%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+16.98%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: -1.40%
Avg Winner: +1.67%
Avg Loser: -3.07%
Best: +5.05%
Worst: -8.88%
Trades: 12/22

15MIN

Win Rate: 32.4%
Avg Gain: -2.22%
Avg Winner: +3.56%
Avg Loser: -4.99%
Best: +12.65%
Worst: -22.92%
Trades: 11/23

30MIN

Win Rate: 38.2%
Avg Gain: -1.21%
Avg Winner: +8.16%
Avg Loser: -7.00%
Best: +81.01%
Worst: -28.95%
Trades: 13/21

60MIN

Win Rate: 26.5%
Avg Gain: +0.57%
Avg Winner: +21.51%
Avg Loser: -6.97%
Best: +140.51%
Worst: -41.51%
Trades: 9/25

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 70.6%
Avg Gain: +18801.80%
Avg Winner: +26640.85%
Avg Loser: -11.90%
Best: +72561.21%
Worst: -35.87%
Trades: 24/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +16.98%
Best MFE: +368.35%
Avg Time to MFE: 77 min

On average, TRVN alerts reach +16.98% profit potential within 77 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.83%
Worst MAE: -9.48%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.83%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.0:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.0x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 34 alerts, TRVN typically reaches +16.98% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 13.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 34
Gap Up % 35.3%
Avg Gap -1.05%
Best Gap +3.40%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TRVN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-06-21 09:25:12 $0.22 +3.24% -2.97% -1.05% +3.42% +19.13% +22.10% -7.76% +1.32% WIN
2024-06-20 09:26:20 $0.34 -4.26% -22.92% -28.95% -41.51% -27.33% +4.43% +0.15% +3.40% LOSS
2023-09-29 09:28:00 $0.59 +0.34% +2.54% +2.26% +4.80% +1.91% +16.28% -1.93% +0.34% WIN
2023-09-07 09:26:00 $0.92 -2.16% -13.59% -6.08% -8.70% -14.13% +0.47% -3.62% -1.18% LOSS
2023-09-06 09:27:00 $1.01 -2.73% +4.96% +1.97% -1.99% +2375.25% +10.89% -5.64% +0.99% LOSS
2023-06-26 09:26:00 $0.9 -4.41% -2.52% -10.18% -8.09% +2239.57% -2.41% -2.41% -4.41% LOSS
2023-06-02 09:25:00 $1.06 +0.47% -1.89% -2.83% -1.89% +2423.58% +2.83% - +0.94% WIN
2023-06-01 09:28:00 $1.1 -2.27% -2.27% -5.45% -2.05% -3.64% +2.62% -1.82% -1.82% LOSS
2023-05-31 09:29:00 $1.31 -6.87% -7.56% -6.15% -7.65% +2075.57% +3.05% -2.29% - LOSS
2023-05-18 09:28:00 $1.18 -1.69% -3.38% -5.08% -5.93% -6.36% +0.85% -2.97% -1.69% LOSS
2023-05-17 09:27:00 $1.3 -2.31% -2.69% -4.62% -4.67% +2207.69% +1.54% - +0.77% LOSS
2023-05-16 09:27:00 $1.16 -1.72% -0.86% -3.45% +10.67% +8.19% +15.52% -9.48% -9.48% LOSS
2023-05-15 09:26:00 $1.42 +3.42% -8.45% -13.43% -14.44% +1977.46% +4.23% -2.82% -0.70% WIN
2023-05-12 09:25:00 $1.64 -3.66% -1.34% -7.92% -6.82% +1957.93% - -0.30% -3.66% LOSS
2023-05-11 09:25:00 $1.54 +1.30% +7.01% +3.25% -2.53% -1.30% +11.69% -1.95% +0.65% WIN
2023-05-10 09:26:00 $1.71 +2.33% +1.75% +2.63% -7.02% -6.43% +7.02% -0.58% +2.92% WIN
2023-05-09 09:28:00 $2.76 -8.88% -14.86% -19.57% -23.55% -35.87% +2.17% -4.71% +0.72% LOSS
2023-05-08 09:25:00 $0.79 +5.05% +12.65% +81.01% +140.51% +9741.77% +368.35% -2.53% -1.66% WIN
2022-08-11 09:25:00 $0.26 -1.92% -8.61% -5.65% -6.08% +59140.20% -0.63% -1.96% -1.96% LOSS
2022-08-08 09:25:00 $0.23 -6.18% -2.26% -1.92% -1.19% +58562.05% +0.21% -6.18% -6.18% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 70.6% Baseline on TRVN

The 70.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TRVN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TRVN Strategy →

Why Analyze TRVN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TRVN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TRVN historically offers an average upside of +16.98% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TRVN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 70.6%, TRVN shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TRVN performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +18801.80%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.