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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$TSL

Trade-Ideas alerts 47.4% at 60-min n=57 2023-01-18 → 2026-09-25

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 57 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

GraniteShares 1.25x Long TSLA Daily ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 08, 2022
Total alerts
57
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
47.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-0.27%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.47%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading TSL on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.1%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.68%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +1.62%
Worst: -3.08%
Trades: 24/32

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.6%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.33%
Avg Loser: -1.46%
Best: +5.08%
Worst: -4.70%
Trades: 25/31

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.8%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.63%
Avg Loser: -1.53%
Best: +8.60%
Worst: -6.47%
Trades: 23/31

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.85%
Avg Loser: -2.17%
Best: +6.91%
Worst: -8.08%
Trades: 27/30

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +2.41%
Avg Loser: -3.12%
Best: +9.45%
Worst: -10.07%
Trades: 25/31

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.47%
Best MFE: +12.84%
Avg Time to MFE: 117 min

On average, TSL alerts reach +2.47% profit potential within 117 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.85%
Worst MAE: -3.63%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.85%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.89:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.89x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 57 alerts, TSL typically reaches +2.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 57
Gap Up % 40.4%
Avg Gap -0.08%
Best Gap +1.18%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TSL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $14.54 +0.89% -3.06% -1.93% -3.30% -3.36% +1.38% -0.76% +0.96% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $14.28 +0.14% +0.42% +0.70% +0.42% +0.42% +2.03% -0.35% +0.21% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $14.42 -0.90% -1.32% -1.11% -0.45% -0.19% +0.17% -2.22% -0.24% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $13.65 +0.29% -1.25% -1.25% -3.37% -3.15% +0.51% -0.66% -0.37% WIN
2026-08-14 09:25:00 $12.77 +0.43% +1.41% +2.39% +1.33% -0.04% +3.06% -0.04% +0.12% WIN
2026-08-04 09:25:00 $11.94 +0.50% -1.00% -0.42% -0.34% +1.26% +2.01% -1.34% -0.17% WIN
2026-07-30 09:25:00 $11.03 -1.00% +0.18% +0.91% +1.18% +1.45% +2.71% -1.00% -0.86% LOSS
2026-07-23 09:25:00 $12.99 -3.08% -4.70% -6.47% -8.08% -9.78% -0.38% -0.46% -1.62% LOSS
2026-07-02 09:25:00 $17.08 -0.47% -3.45% -4.57% -7.67% -10.07% +0.94% -0.47% -0.41% LOSS
2026-06-22 09:25:00 $15.52 +0.58% +1.29% +2.00% +4.51% +2.84% +5.93% -0.97% -0.32% WIN
2026-06-11 09:25:00 $15.22 -0.53% -2.46% -0.33% -0.46% +3.22% +5.06% -2.76% -0.46% LOSS
2026-06-08 09:25:00 $15.74 -0.89% -0.44% +0.32% +0.83% +2.99% +4.07% -1.40% -0.95% LOSS
2026-06-05 09:25:00 $16.77 +0.83% -0.95% -2.50% -4.17% -8.59% +1.31% -0.12% +0.24% WIN
2026-05-18 09:25:00 $16.73 +0.12% -1.40% -0.90% -0.72% -2.57% +0.78% -0.30% +0.12% WIN
2026-05-08 09:25:00 $16.6 +1.45% +1.57% +3.07% +3.86% +4.04% +4.76% +0.00% +0.66% WIN
2026-04-24 09:25:00 $14.6 -0.14% +1.40% +1.23% +0.27% +0.68% +2.84% -1.03% -0.41% LOSS
2026-04-23 09:25:00 $14.72 -1.43% +2.72% -0.14% -2.24% -1.02% +2.92% -1.70% -0.54% LOSS
2026-04-21 09:25:00 $15.54 -0.58% -0.71% -0.58% -0.45% -2.14% +0.84% +0.58% -0.32% LOSS
2026-04-20 09:25:00 $15.98 +1.19% -1.13% -2.10% -2.44% -2.94% +1.38% -0.31% +0.06% WIN
2026-04-16 09:25:00 $15.53 -0.71% -2.12% -3.09% -2.45% -1.42% +0.58% -0.06% +0.26% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ TSL Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.4% win rate and -0.27% average gain, TSL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TSL for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TSL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TSL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TSL historically offers an average upside of +2.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TSL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.4%, TSL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TSL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TSL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.27%). This suggests TSL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.