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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$TSMX

Trade-Ideas alert history 17 alerts 2024-10-172025-02-14

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 17 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily TSM Bull 2X ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 02, 2024
Total alerts
17
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
47.1%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
+0.33%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.97%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading TSMX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +4.88%
Worst: -1.76%
Trades: 6/11

15MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +2.22%
Avg Loser: -1.04%
Best: +5.98%
Worst: -1.98%
Trades: 6/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +2.07%
Avg Loser: -1.31%
Best: +4.23%
Worst: -2.94%
Trades: 7/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: +0.33%
Avg Winner: +2.24%
Avg Loser: -1.37%
Best: +7.51%
Worst: -3.27%
Trades: 8/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +2.82%
Avg Loser: -2.12%
Best: +6.98%
Worst: -4.49%
Trades: 8/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.97%
Best MFE: +12.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 115 min

On average, TSMX alerts reach +3.97% profit potential within 115 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.58%
Worst MAE: -2.88%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.58%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.51:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.51x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 17 alerts, TSMX typically reaches +3.97% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 17
Gap Up % 58.8%
Avg Gap +0.15%
Best Gap +0.85%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TSMX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:05 $28.55 -1.72% -1.98% -1.73% -0.81% +4.24% +6.55% -2.24% -0.07% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:28:10 $29.52 -1.76% -1.80% -2.03% -1.90% -1.08% -0.51% -0.91% -0.98% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:27:11 $31.2 +0.48% +0.03% -0.38% -1.19% -0.74% +1.41% -0.54% -0.54% WIN
2025-02-06 09:27:05 $31.59 +0.51% -1.28% -1.01% -1.41% +0.89% +1.51% -0.54% +0.51% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:30 $28.85 -0.76% -0.08% +0.62% +1.35% -0.24% +5.04% -2.22% -0.38% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:29:56 $30.19 -0.63% -0.41% +1.42% +0.76% -1.69% +2.09% -1.95% +0.27% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:25:19 $27.67 -0.25% -1.30% +0.18% +1.92% +6.98% +7.59% -2.88% +0.83% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:32 $28.26 +4.88% +5.98% +3.86% -0.46% -4.49% +12.27% +0.18% +0.85% WIN
2025-01-22 09:28:55 $36.86 -0.38% -0.98% -1.11% +0.94% +0.57% +2.60% -2.69% -0.46% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:29:01 $35.74 +0.56% -0.43% -1.59% -0.34% -3.53% +2.71% -2.38% +0.25% WIN
2025-01-15 09:27:57 $30.62 -0.23% +2.55% +1.89% +2.87% +4.83% +5.36% -2.68% +0.49% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:26:42 $35.89 +0.72% -0.53% -0.05% +1.41% +1.70% +3.55% -2.17% +0.47% WIN
2024-12-19 09:25:23 $30.27 -1.21% -1.88% -2.94% -3.27% -3.83% +0.41% -1.42% - LOSS
2024-12-09 09:29:48 $30.9 -0.94% +0.55% +2.27% +1.12% -1.07% +2.75% -1.17% +0.61% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:28:44 $30.86 -0.32% -0.75% -1.33% -0.26% +0.65% +2.69% -1.59% - LOSS
2024-11-08 09:26:51 $32.57 +0.68% +0.44% -0.89% -2.73% -2.39% +2.70% -0.83% +0.21% WIN
2024-10-17 09:29:46 $32.87 -0.61% +3.77% +4.23% +7.51% +2.74% +8.76% -0.82% +0.43% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 47.1% Baseline on TSMX

The 47.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push TSMX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TSMX Strategy →

Why Analyze TSMX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TSMX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TSMX historically offers an average upside of +3.97% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TSMX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.1%, TSMX shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TSMX performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.33%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.