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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$TSMX

Trade-Ideas alerts 49.1% at 60-min n=110 2024-10-17 → 2026-09-21

🏢 Company Profile

Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion Daily TSM Bull 2X ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 02, 2024
Total alerts
110
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
49.1%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-0.05%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.17%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading TSMX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +4.88%
Worst: -3.04%
Trades: 40/70

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.7%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.73%
Avg Loser: -1.62%
Best: +5.98%
Worst: -4.90%
Trades: 47/63

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.5%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -1.92%
Best: +5.76%
Worst: -8.62%
Trades: 49/61

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +2.21%
Avg Loser: -2.22%
Best: +7.51%
Worst: -7.56%
Trades: 54/56

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.4%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +3.34%
Avg Loser: -3.04%
Best: +10.54%
Worst: -10.37%
Trades: 51/59

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.17%
Best MFE: +12.27%
Avg Time to MFE: 116 min

On average, TSMX alerts reach +3.17% profit potential within 116 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.29%
Worst MAE: -5.13%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.47:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.47x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 110 alerts, TSMX typically reaches +3.17% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 110
Gap Up % 44.5%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +1.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TSMX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $84.75 -0.47% -0.29% -0.89% -0.76% +1.99% +2.25% -1.52% +0.25% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $75.98 +1.08% +0.82% +0.91% +2.59% +0.61% +3.47% -0.95% -0.32% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $84.21 +1.18% -0.26% -1.79% -1.58% +0.26% +2.43% -1.10% -0.25% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $77.9 -0.96% +0.69% +2.05% +2.32% +3.34% +3.59% -0.98% -0.22% LOSS
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $78.81 -0.41% -1.98% -0.56% +0.04% -1.03% +2.16% -2.44% -0.04% LOSS
2026-08-04 09:25:00 $77.62 -0.62% -1.22% -0.95% -1.28% -0.27% +1.22% -2.60% -0.06% LOSS
2026-07-31 09:25:00 $78.75 -0.95% -4.90% -6.48% -7.56% -7.40% +0.32% +0.03% -0.50% LOSS
2026-07-30 09:25:00 $68.57 -1.08% +1.75% +4.86% +6.30% +6.03% +7.38% -1.78% +0.49% LOSS
2026-07-29 09:25:00 $68.01 -1.32% -0.46% -2.96% -4.28% -7.47% +1.28% -1.62% -0.16% LOSS
2026-07-23 09:25:00 $77.59 -0.10% +2.02% +2.47% +1.95% +0.31% +2.89% -1.24% -0.04% LOSS
2026-07-21 09:25:00 $79.4 -1.34% -0.49% -1.14% -0.76% +2.54% +2.80% -2.46% -0.65% LOSS
2026-07-20 09:25:00 $75.52 -0.69% +0.13% -1.62% -2.14% -2.86% +0.64% -1.47% -0.58% LOSS
2026-07-17 09:25:00 $70.37 -2.09% -3.85% -0.20% +3.07% +1.93% +5.43% -4.36% -1.19% LOSS
2026-07-15 09:25:00 $82.14 -0.05% -0.52% -1.06% -3.02% -2.53% +1.66% -0.18% +0.38% LOSS
2026-07-14 09:25:00 $85.06 -1.21% -2.99% -4.24% -4.87% -5.50% -0.05% -0.24% -0.89% LOSS
2026-07-13 09:25:00 $86.2 -1.32% -2.42% -4.02% -2.44% -6.13% +1.02% -2.32% -0.36% LOSS
2026-07-09 09:25:00 $91.47 -1.72% -1.91% -1.85% -3.22% -4.81% +0.01% -0.27% -0.75% LOSS
2026-07-08 09:25:00 $83.83 +1.55% +3.39% +3.07% +3.21% +3.58% +5.33% -0.38% -0.06% WIN
2026-07-07 09:25:00 $88.56 -0.84% -1.37% -3.00% -4.46% -3.59% -0.35% -2.96% -1.20% LOSS
2026-07-02 09:25:00 $93.76 -0.50% -1.66% +1.77% +1.10% -7.89% +3.92% -1.76% -0.33% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ TSMX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.1% win rate and -0.05% average gain, TSMX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TSMX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TSMX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TSMX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TSMX historically offers an average upside of +3.17% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TSMX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.1%, TSMX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TSMX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TSMX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.05%). This suggests TSMX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.