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TSN Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 49 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-07 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (49 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.tysonfoods.com
💰 Market Cap: $21.77B 👥 Employees: 133,000
Tyson Foods is a protein-focused food producer, selling raw chicken, beef, pork, and prepared foods. Chicken and beef are its two largest segments, composing about 40% and 30% of sales, respectively. Prepared foods constituted 18% of fiscal 2025 sales and include brands like Tyson, Jimmy Dean, Hillshire Farm, Ball Park, and Sara Lee. However, most of these are in product categories rife with competition where Tyson does not have a massive market share lead. Tyson sells some products overseas, but the international segment accounts for just 4% of total revenue. The company is an active acquirer, with more recent years' purchases focused on international and food-service markets.
📊
49
Total Alerts
🎯
53.1%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.03%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.40%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.1%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.77%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +2.68%
Worst: -6.24%
Trades: 26/23

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.09%
Avg Loser: -1.13%
Best: +4.06%
Worst: -9.07%
Trades: 24/24

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.20%
Avg Loser: -1.18%
Best: +5.61%
Worst: -8.46%
Trades: 25/24

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -1.26%
Best: +5.90%
Worst: -7.92%
Trades: 24/25

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.49%
Avg Loser: -1.58%
Best: +6.97%
Worst: -6.87%
Trades: 21/28

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.40%
Best MFE: +7.11%
Avg Time to MFE: 112 min

On average, TSN alerts reach +1.40% profit potential within 112 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.36%
Worst MAE: -2.77%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.36%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.84:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.84x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 49 alerts, TSN typically reaches +1.40% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 49
Gap Up % 59.2%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +2.58%

🏭 Sector Comparison: POULTRY SLAUGHTERING AND PROCESSING

How TSN compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TSN: +0.03% Sector: +0.05% -0.02%
EOD Gain
TSN: -0.26% Sector: -0.29% +0.02%
Avg MFE
TSN: +1.40% Sector: +1.43% -0.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TSN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:26:59 $58.99 -1.91% -3.54% -3.02% -1.56% -2.12% - -1.25% -2.66% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:29:20 $54.6 +1.02% +1.14% +1.14% +0.57% -0.60% +1.52% +0.40% +0.55% WIN
2024-12-03 09:28:27 $64.2 +0.08% +0.33% -0.11% +0.06% -0.02% +0.56% -0.26% +0.22% WIN
2024-11-21 09:28:36 $62.19 +1.91% +2.02% +2.24% +2.82% +2.54% +3.51% +1.30% +1.69% WIN
2024-11-12 09:25:39 $61.82 +0.81% +4.00% +3.79% +5.90% +1.36% +6.68% -0.11% +1.29% WIN
2024-10-09 09:25:24 $58.69 -0.49% -0.76% -0.66% -0.68% -0.70% -0.31% -1.01% -0.49% LOSS
2024-09-25 09:27:57 $59.0 -1.24% -0.85% -2.03% -1.47% -1.76% +0.34% +0.32% -0.59% LOSS
2024-09-06 09:26:31 $64.97 +0.86% +1.19% +0.94% +1.19% +1.39% +2.00% +0.40% +0.40% WIN
2024-09-04 09:27:27 $65.49 -0.65% -0.51% -0.10% -0.34% +0.35% +0.72% -1.25% -1.22% LOSS
2024-08-22 09:29:16 $63.32 +0.08% -0.02% -0.44% -0.69% -0.49% +0.38% -0.03% +0.14% WIN
2024-08-07 09:25:03 $61.6 -0.26% -0.41% +0.50% +0.21% -0.75% +0.89% -0.60% +0.19% LOSS
2024-05-23 09:25:47 $59.36 +1.15% +1.04% +1.32% +1.50% +1.62% +2.36% +0.86% +1.09% WIN
2024-05-22 09:25:32 $61.15 -0.43% -0.38% -0.36% -0.72% -1.39% -0.16% -0.74% -0.49% LOSS
2024-05-09 09:27:09 $59.4 -0.82% -0.79% -0.51% +0.37% +0.42% +0.47% -1.01% -0.34% LOSS
2024-05-07 09:29:34 $58.6 -0.38% +0.42% -0.03% +0.07% +0.49% +0.84% +0.15% +0.15% LOSS
2024-05-06 09:27:45 $62.5 -6.24% -9.07% -8.46% -7.92% -6.40% -0.13% -2.77% -2.90% LOSS
2024-02-05 09:25:46 $58.99 +2.68% +1.85% +1.61% -0.92% -2.53% +3.76% +0.44% +2.58% WIN
2023-11-13 09:25:00 $46.3 +1.81% +4.06% +5.61% +3.54% -1.47% +5.81% -1.62% -0.65% WIN
2023-09-14 09:27:00 $52.89 +0.74% +0.89% +1.46% +1.27% +2.02% +2.13% +0.34% +0.36% WIN
2023-09-06 09:28:00 $52.01 -0.20% +0.33% -0.11% -0.29% -0.94% +0.48% -0.48% -0.08% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 53.1% Baseline on TSN

The 53.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TSN's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TSN Strategy →

Why Analyze TSN with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TSN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TSN historically offers an average upside of +1.40% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TSN Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.1%, TSN shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TSN performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.