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UBXG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 18 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-04-02 → 2024-12-16

⚠️ Small sample size (18 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

U-BX Technology Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 28, 2024 🔗 www.u-bx.com
💰 Market Cap: $13.7M 👥 Employees: 15
U-BX Technology Ltd focuses on providing value-added services using artificial intelligence-driven technology to businesses in the insurance industry, including insurance carriers and brokers. Its main offerings include three services/products: digital promotion services, risk assessment services, and value-added bundled benefits. The PRC operating entities help their institutional clients gain visibility on various social media platforms and generate revenue based on consumers' clicks, views, or clients' promotion time on these channels. U-BX Beijing developed a unique algorithm named the Magic Mirror. The majority of revenue comes from digital promotion services. Geographically, all of the company's revenue is derived from Mainland China.
📊
18
Total Alerts
🎯
52.9%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.45%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+15.30%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.9%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +3.21%
Avg Loser: -4.57%
Best: +8.60%
Worst: -13.57%
Trades: 9/8

15MIN

Win Rate: 29.4%
Avg Gain: +0.51%
Avg Winner: +9.93%
Avg Loser: -3.72%
Best: +24.40%
Worst: -10.51%
Trades: 5/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +2.80%
Avg Winner: +12.23%
Avg Loser: -4.74%
Best: +61.40%
Worst: -14.33%
Trades: 8/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: -1.38%
Avg Winner: +7.62%
Avg Loser: -6.29%
Best: +15.05%
Worst: -25.86%
Trades: 6/11

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +452.85%
Avg Winner: +1032.31%
Avg Loser: -11.91%
Best: +1571.04%
Worst: -53.00%
Trades: 8/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +15.30%
Best MFE: +161.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 59 min

On average, UBXG alerts reach +15.30% profit potential within 59 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.56%
Worst MAE: -14.48%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.56%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.29:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.29x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 18 alerts, UBXG typically reaches +15.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 12.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 17
Gap Up % 17.6%
Avg Gap -0.91%
Best Gap +1.64%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UBXG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-16 09:25:59 $3.82 -1.84% +8.63% +5.76% +11.44% -0.79% +19.63% -5.76% -3.14% LOSS
2024-11-04 09:25:49 $0.3 +1.38% -1.61% -1.21% -1.05% -3.61% +1.64% -1.64% +1.64% WIN
2024-10-31 09:25:03 $0.35 -3.23% -0.85% -1.13% -4.34% +1441.06% - -3.63% -3.23% LOSS
2024-10-23 09:27:07 $0.41 -7.54% -6.46% -6.59% -5.62% -8.51% -0.98% -1.20% -2.44% LOSS
2024-10-09 09:29:28 $0.55 +1.60% -1.11% +0.24% -2.92% -2.59% +2.14% +1.60% +1.60% WIN
2024-10-01 09:27:32 $0.74 +1.88% +0.68% +2.42% +2.66% +1311.48% +4.04% -1.09% -1.09% WIN
2024-09-11 09:29:21 $0.93 +5.33% +14.52% +16.67% +15.05% +5.38% +29.03% -2.14% +1.61% WIN
2024-09-05 09:26:37 $1.2 +4.17% - +2.50% +2.50% -5.00% +5.00% - - WIN
2024-09-03 09:28:55 $1.4 +0.01% -2.86% -3.14% -4.64% +1351.43% +1.06% - - WIN
2024-08-30 09:29:59 $1.4 +2.14% -2.14% -0.43% -0.72% - +7.14% -5.00% - WIN
2024-08-29 09:29:07 $1.33 -3.38% +1.41% +8.27% +13.91% +6.77% +27.07% -5.26% -1.50% LOSS
2024-08-28 09:26:18 $1.87 +3.74% -3.74% -6.95% -8.56% -20.86% +4.28% -1.07% -1.07% WIN
2024-08-27 09:29:26 $2.21 -13.57% -10.51% -9.95% -12.67% -9.05% +1.81% -14.48% -0.91% LOSS
2024-08-26 09:26:54 $3.21 -1.52% -8.41% -14.33% -25.86% +1071.34% +2.18% -6.54% -3.43% LOSS
2024-08-23 09:25:17 $5.0 +8.60% +24.40% +61.40% - -53.00% +161.80% -3.40% -1.80% WIN
2024-08-22 09:25:44 $33.15 -3.77% -1.75% -2.22% -2.56% -3.77% +2.11% -11.01% -0.42% LOSS
2024-04-08 09:29:33 $5.0 - - +0.60% +0.16% +1500.00% +2.00% -1.00% - -
2024-04-02 09:29:58 $4.73 -1.69% -1.48% -1.48% -0.21% +1571.04% +5.50% -2.54% -1.27% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ UBXG Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.9% win rate, UBXG has -0.45% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making UBXG profitable.

🔧 Fix UBXG Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze UBXG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UBXG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UBXG historically offers an average upside of +15.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UBXG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.9%, UBXG shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-4.57%) outweigh average wins (+3.21%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: UBXG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.45%). This suggests UBXG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.