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UHG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-31 → 2023-03-31

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

United Homes Group, Inc Class A Common Stock OPERATIVE BUILDERS (SIC 1531)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 31, 2023 🔗 www.unitedhomesgroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $124.1M 👥 Employees: 175
United Homes Group Inc operates as a homebuilder which operates with a land-light idea in the Southeast. The company currently has a presence in South Carolina, North Carolina, and Georgia and focuses on providing high-quality, affordable homes for the entry-level and first-move-up segments. The company has three reportable segments: GSH South Carolina, Rosewood, and Other.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+26.02%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+27.25%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +26.02%
Avg Winner: +26.02%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +26.02%
Worst: +26.02%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +5.11%
Avg Winner: +5.11%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.11%
Worst: +5.11%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.08%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.08%
Best: -4.08%
Worst: -4.08%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.47%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.47%
Best: -1.47%
Worst: -1.47%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -8.73%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -8.73%
Best: -8.73%
Worst: -8.73%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +27.25%
Best MFE: +27.25%
Avg Time to MFE: 7 min

On average, UHG alerts reach +27.25% profit potential within 7 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.39%
Worst MAE: -0.39%
Avg Time to MAE: 0 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.39%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

69.0:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 69.0x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, UHG typically reaches +27.25% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 21.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.39%
Best Gap -0.39%

🏭 Sector Comparison: OPERATIVE BUILDERS

How UHG compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UHG: +26.02% Sector: +0.15% +25.87%
EOD Gain
UHG: -8.73% Sector: -0.42% -8.32%
Avg MFE
UHG: +27.25% Sector: +2.02% +25.23%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UHG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-03-31 09:29:00 $22.79 +26.02% +5.11% -4.08% -1.47% -8.73% +27.25% -0.39% -0.39% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on UHG

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push UHG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UHG Strategy →

Why Analyze UHG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UHG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UHG historically offers an average upside of +27.25% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UHG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, UHG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UHG performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +26.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.