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UNFI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-08 → 2023-09-26

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 01, 1996 🔗 www.unfi.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.15B 👥 Employees: 25,600
United Natural Foods Inc is a wholesale distributor of natural, organic and specialty foods and nonfood products across North America. The company's products consist of national, regional and private label brands grouped into grocery and general merchandise, produce, perishables and frozen foods, nutritional supplements and sports nutrition, bulk and foodservice products, and personal care items. United Natural Foods serves various retail formats including conventional supermarket chains, natural product superstores, independent retail operators and foodservice channels such as e-commerce platforms. The company's operations are comprised of principal divisions: the wholesale division; the retail division; and other.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.34%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+11.75%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.59%
Avg Winner: +3.10%
Avg Loser: -2.43%
Best: +3.10%
Worst: -4.07%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.34%
Avg Winner: +3.19%
Avg Loser: -5.36%
Best: +4.54%
Worst: -5.36%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +2.78%
Avg Winner: +4.59%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +5.89%
Worst: -0.85%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +3.22%
Avg Winner: +6.50%
Avg Loser: -3.36%
Best: +8.33%
Worst: -3.36%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +4.35%
Avg Winner: +11.28%
Avg Loser: -9.49%
Best: +19.15%
Worst: -9.49%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +11.75%
Best MFE: +20.16%
Avg Time to MFE: 184 min

On average, UNFI alerts reach +11.75% profit potential within 184 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.96%
Worst MAE: -6.81%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.96%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.96:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.96x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, UNFI typically reaches +11.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -1.90%
Best Gap +1.47%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WHOLESALE-GROCERIES, GENERAL LINE

How UNFI compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
UNFI: -0.59% Sector: -0.99% +0.41%
EOD Gain
UNFI: +4.35% Sector: +1.01% +3.34%
Avg MFE
UNFI: +11.75% Sector: +5.04% +6.70%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical UNFI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-09-26 09:27:00 $15.17 -0.79% +4.54% +3.30% -3.36% -9.49% +7.11% -1.12% -0.53% LOSS
2023-06-07 09:25:00 $19.69 +3.10% +1.83% +5.89% +8.33% +19.15% +20.16% -0.96% +1.47% WIN
2023-03-08 09:25:00 $28.5 -4.07% -5.36% -0.85% +4.68% +3.40% +7.96% -6.81% -6.63% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on UNFI

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push UNFI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize UNFI Strategy →

Why Analyze UNFI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UNFI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, UNFI historically offers an average upside of +11.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 UNFI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, UNFI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show UNFI performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.34%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.