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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$USD

Trade-Ideas alert history 6 alerts 2023-05-252025-01-28

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 6 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jan 30, 2007
Total alerts
6
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
66.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.46%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+6.67%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading USD on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.46%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -2.54%
Best: +1.90%
Worst: -4.61%
Trades: 4/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +2.45%
Avg Loser: -3.14%
Best: +5.69%
Worst: -5.53%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.83%
Avg Winner: +4.99%
Avg Loser: -1.34%
Best: +10.06%
Worst: -3.33%
Trades: 3/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.48%
Avg Winner: +4.92%
Avg Loser: -1.96%
Best: +9.78%
Worst: -4.01%
Trades: 3/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -14.12%
Avg Winner: +7.81%
Avg Loser: -36.05%
Best: +13.82%
Worst: -48.54%
Trades: 3/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.67%
Best MFE: +19.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 282 min

On average, USD alerts reach +6.67% profit potential within 282 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.49%
Worst MAE: -7.34%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.49%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.91:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, USD typically reaches +6.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.65%
Best Gap +0.98%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical USD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-28 09:29:37 $54.93 -4.61% -5.53% -3.33% -1.53% +4.68% +5.30% -7.34% -0.31% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:09 $59.7 +0.29% -1.83% -0.03% -4.01% -11.54% +1.34% -4.52% -1.24% WIN
2025-01-13 09:26:28 $61.16 +1.90% +1.11% +4.01% +2.24% +4.94% +5.15% +0.00% +0.34% WIN
2024-08-05 09:27:50 $79.25 +0.06% +5.69% +10.06% +9.78% +13.82% +19.90% -4.10% -3.22% WIN
2024-02-22 09:27:37 $81.64 -0.48% +0.56% +0.92% +2.75% -48.08% +4.37% -1.85% -0.45% LOSS
2023-05-25 09:25:00 $33.8 +0.09% -2.07% -0.65% -0.33% -48.54% +3.96% -3.14% +0.98% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ USD Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, USD has -0.46% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making USD profitable.

🔧 Fix USD Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze USD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for USD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, USD historically offers an average upside of +6.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 USD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, USD shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.54%) outweigh average wins (+0.58%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: USD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.46%). This suggests USD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.