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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$USFD

Trade-Ideas alert history 4 alerts 2022-11-252024-04-08

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 4 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 26, 2016 🔗 www.usfoods.com
💰 Market Cap: $22.97B 👥 Employees: 30,000
US Foods is a leading domestic foodservice distributor, generating $39 billion in sales in fiscal 2025 and capturing a 10% share of the fragmented industry. The firm sells and distributes more than 350,000 food and nonfood products to about 250,000 customer locations, including independent restaurants (33% of fiscal 2025 sales), chain restaurants (23%), healthcare and hospitality clients (27%), and other end markets (17%), largely consisting of education and government contracts. US Foods also operates 98 cash-and-carry locations under the Chef'Store banner. The firm's physical network spans 76 distribution facilities and 14 broadline production centers.
Total alerts
4
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
100.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
+0.49%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.65%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading USFD on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.22%
Avg Loser: -0.16%
Best: +0.22%
Worst: -0.33%
Trades: 1/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.30%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +0.42%
Worst: -0.44%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.49%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.15%
Worst: +0.13%
Trades: 4/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.79%
Avg Winner: +0.79%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.02%
Worst: +0.48%
Trades: 4/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.54%
Avg Winner: +1.19%
Avg Loser: -0.10%
Best: +1.36%
Worst: -0.15%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.65%
Best MFE: +2.13%
Avg Time to MFE: 83 min

On average, USFD alerts reach +1.65% profit potential within 83 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.59%
Worst MAE: -1.15%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.59%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.82:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.82x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, USFD typically reaches +1.65% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 75.0%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +0.50%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WHOLESALE-GROCERIES & RELATED PRODUCTS

How USFD compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
USFD: -0.06% Sector: +0.13% -0.20%
EOD Gain
USFD: +0.54% Sector: +0.32% +0.23%
Avg MFE
USFD: +1.65% Sector: +2.32% -0.67%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical USFD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-08 09:25:52 $50.6 +0.22% +0.18% +1.15% +1.00% +1.36% +1.78% -0.81% -0.81% WIN
2023-05-23 09:25:00 $39.95 -0.04% +0.00% +0.13% +1.02% -0.15% +2.13% -0.05% +0.13% LOSS
2023-03-08 09:25:00 $38.27 -0.10% -0.44% +0.14% +0.48% +1.02% +1.65% -1.15% +0.50% LOSS
2022-11-25 09:25:00 $35.94 -0.33% +0.42% +0.56% +0.64% -0.06% +1.06% -0.33% +0.17% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 100.0% Baseline on USFD

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push USFD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize USFD Strategy →

Why Analyze USFD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for USFD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, USFD historically offers an average upside of +1.65% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 USFD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, USFD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show USFD performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.49%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.