FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$VGLT

Trade-Ideas alerts 53.3% at 15-min n=75 2022-01-14 → 2026-10-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 75 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 19, 2009
Total alerts
75
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
53.3%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.01%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.36%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading VGLT on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.07%
Avg Loser: -0.05%
Best: +0.41%
Worst: -0.22%
Trades: 39/33

15MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.09%
Avg Loser: -0.12%
Best: +0.29%
Worst: -0.40%
Trades: 40/34

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.14%
Avg Loser: -0.14%
Best: +0.59%
Worst: -0.54%
Trades: 36/38

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.20%
Avg Loser: -0.25%
Best: +0.66%
Worst: -0.88%
Trades: 40/35

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.7%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +1.65%
Worst: -1.17%
Trades: 38/36

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.36%
Best MFE: +1.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 140 min

On average, VGLT alerts reach +0.36% profit potential within 140 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.10%
Worst MAE: -0.56%
Avg Time to MAE: 21 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.10%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.67:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.67x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 75 alerts, VGLT typically reaches +0.36% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 75
Gap Up % 52.0%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +0.52%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VGLT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $50.24 -0.06% +0.04% +0.02% +0.24% -0.64% +0.34% -0.15% -0.06% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $49.64 +0.02% -0.09% -0.03% +0.03% +0.87% +1.21% -0.27% -0.04% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $50.37 -0.04% -0.16% -0.14% -0.36% -0.46% +0.04% +0.02% -0.04% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $50.94 +0.08% +0.06% -0.05% -0.36% +0.08% +0.16% -0.56% +0.04% WIN
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $52.2 +0.08% -0.02% -0.51% -0.61% -1.17% +0.11% +0.06% +0.08% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $52.22 -0.02% -0.11% -0.16% -0.30% -0.29% +0.02% -0.02% +0.02% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $52.29 +0.02% -0.07% +0.06% +0.05% +0.29% +0.31% -0.13% +0.01% WIN
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $51.96 +0.04% +0.15% +0.12% +0.13% -0.13% +0.65% -0.02% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $51.78 -0.06% +0.01% -0.03% -0.02% +0.06% +0.22% -0.10% -0.04% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $51.89 -0.03% -0.04% -0.13% -0.42% +0.10% +0.58% -0.42% -0.04% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $52.17 +0.02% +0.19% +0.01% -0.08% -0.52% +0.21% -0.03% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $52.03 +0.03% -0.03% -0.02% +0.27% -0.29% +0.40% -0.08% +0.02% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $52.71 +0.04% +0.09% +0.13% -0.10% -0.40% +0.17% +0.02% +0.04% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $52.79 +0.08% +0.15% +0.19% +0.23% -0.02% +0.27% -0.06% +0.04% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $52.87 -0.04% -0.09% -0.09% -0.15% -0.32% +0.07% -0.24% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $52.63 -0.04% -0.07% -0.04% -0.03% -0.02% +0.08% -0.13% -0.01% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $52.61 +0.02% +0.08% +0.06% +0.34% -0.10% +0.46% -0.08% -0.08% WIN
2026-08-26 09:25:00 $53.41 +0.07% +0.01% -0.05% -0.07% +0.09% +0.11% -0.19% +0.06% WIN
2026-08-24 09:25:00 $52.98 +0.05% +0.05% +0.13% +0.08% +0.13% +0.43% -0.02% +0.02% WIN
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $52.91 -0.01% +0.05% +0.07% +0.18% +0.05% +0.44% -0.12% +0.01% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ VGLT Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 53.3% win rate, VGLT has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making VGLT profitable.

🔧 Fix VGLT Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze VGLT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VGLT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VGLT historically offers an average upside of +0.36% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VGLT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.3%, VGLT shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.12%) outweigh average wins (+0.09%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: VGLT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.01%). This suggests VGLT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.