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VIPS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 72 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-02-03

⚠️ Small sample size (72 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Vipshop Holdings Limited
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 23, 2012 🔗 www.vip.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.56B 👥 Employees: 14,966
Vipshop is a leading Chinese online discount retailer offering branded products at attractive discounts ranging from 10%-90% off their original price through daily flash sales. It operates warehousing, retailing, product procurements, software development, and information technology support in-house while outsourcing to third-party logistics providers for distribution and shipments. Branded products on Vipshop's platform are sourced mostly through a consignment model with global brand partners . As of March 31, 2025, Eric Ya Shen, chairman and CEO, had 64.5% voting rights. Leading Chinese social media firm and strategic shareholder Tencent also holds an 12.5% interest.
📊
72
Total Alerts
🎯
69.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.59%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.90%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 69.4%
Avg Gain: +0.59%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -1.31%
Best: +5.81%
Worst: -4.80%
Trades: 50/22

15MIN

Win Rate: 56.9%
Avg Gain: +0.53%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -1.74%
Best: +7.77%
Worst: -4.98%
Trades: 41/30

30MIN

Win Rate: 63.9%
Avg Gain: +0.77%
Avg Winner: +2.56%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +11.91%
Worst: -7.50%
Trades: 46/26

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.81%
Avg Winner: +3.38%
Avg Loser: -2.40%
Best: +13.25%
Worst: -6.73%
Trades: 40/32

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 52.8%
Avg Gain: +0.52%
Avg Winner: +3.59%
Avg Loser: -3.10%
Best: +13.25%
Worst: -11.08%
Trades: 38/32

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.90%
Best MFE: +14.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 93 min

On average, VIPS alerts reach +3.90% profit potential within 93 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.00%
Worst MAE: -6.32%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.00%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.88:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.88x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 72 alerts, VIPS typically reaches +3.90% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 72
Gap Up % 56.9%
Avg Gap +0.15%
Best Gap +5.61%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VIPS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-03 09:29:38 $14.01 -1.18% -1.86% -3.16% -0.50% -0.86% +0.71% -3.85% -0.21% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:28:22 $13.38 -0.86% -1.12% -0.71% -0.45% -1.35% +0.26% -1.27% -0.52% LOSS
2024-10-08 09:29:30 $15.99 -0.56% +1.19% +0.75% +1.31% +3.38% +3.60% -0.94% +0.06% LOSS
2024-10-02 09:28:44 $17.39 +0.46% -0.06% -0.06% -0.34% -0.52% +1.55% -0.79% +0.17% WIN
2024-09-30 09:28:21 $16.57 -0.81% -1.21% +0.75% -1.00% -5.07% +1.33% -0.48% -0.42% LOSS
2024-09-27 09:26:56 $15.69 -0.06% -1.69% +1.40% +1.94% +0.51% +2.87% -2.04% -0.57% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:26:19 $15.6 +0.58% -2.76% -7.15% -5.45% -2.05% +1.92% -0.06% +0.13% WIN
2024-09-24 09:25:21 $13.88 +0.79% +1.15% +0.86% +1.19% +4.03% +4.61% -0.07% +0.58% WIN
2024-08-21 09:27:35 $11.7 +2.44% +2.99% +3.93% +6.03% +8.55% +10.26% -0.26% - WIN
2024-08-20 09:28:14 $13.0 -1.69% -4.85% -4.31% -6.73% -11.08% +0.77% +0.38% - LOSS
2024-05-30 09:25:33 $15.84 +0.51% +0.57% +1.58% +1.45% +1.52% +2.56% -0.25% +0.51% WIN
2024-05-22 09:26:49 $16.18 +5.81% +6.30% +5.87% +7.54% +2.10% +10.57% +0.19% +0.62% WIN
2024-05-14 09:26:14 $16.56 +0.53% +0.30% +0.30% -1.36% -0.97% +0.82% -0.66% -0.30% WIN
2024-05-02 09:27:39 $15.43 +0.26% +1.49% +1.04% +1.69% +4.08% +5.35% -1.75% -1.36% WIN
2024-03-18 09:28:43 $17.36 +0.29% -0.12% -0.29% -0.60% -1.15% +0.92% -0.63% +0.29% WIN
2024-03-11 09:27:05 $17.45 +0.29% +0.37% -1.06% -1.83% -3.38% +0.97% -0.46% -0.06% WIN
2024-02-28 09:29:43 $18.71 +5.67% +5.29% +5.77% +5.77% +4.38% +7.91% +0.53% +1.71% WIN
2023-11-14 09:27:00 $14.54 +2.97% +4.71% +3.99% +5.85% +1.79% +6.33% -0.14% +1.17% WIN
2023-10-09 09:25:00 $15.84 +1.26% +0.76% +2.49% +2.78% +3.03% +4.80% -0.13% - WIN
2023-08-21 09:28:00 $15.04 +0.66% +0.07% +0.96% +1.93% +5.12% +5.72% -0.50% -0.20% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 69.4% Baseline on VIPS

The 69.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push VIPS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize VIPS Strategy →

Why Analyze VIPS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VIPS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VIPS historically offers an average upside of +3.90% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VIPS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 69.4%, VIPS shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show VIPS performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.59%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.