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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$VSEC

Trade-Ideas alerts 66.7% at 5-min n=3 2023-07-20 → 2026-04-06

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 3 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 20, 1982 🔗 www.vsecorp.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.51B 👥 Employees: 1,600
VSE Corp is a diversified aftermarket products and services company serving commercial and government markets. The Company's operations include aircraft and airframe parts supply and distribution, and MRO services of aircraft components and engine accessories. The Company operates as a single reportable segment: Aviation, which is a provider of aftermarket parts distribution and MRO services for components and engine accessories supporting commercial, business, and general aviation operators.
Total alerts
3
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
66.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.08%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.44%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading VSEC on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.17%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: +0.22%
Worst: -0.58%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.25%
Avg Winner: +1.37%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: +1.37%
Worst: -0.62%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.83%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +0.83%
Worst: -1.45%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -2.04%
Best: +0.69%
Worst: -2.04%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.94%
Avg Winner: +1.90%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +2.71%
Worst: -0.97%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.44%
Best MFE: +3.59%
Avg Time to MFE: 160 min

On average, VSEC alerts reach +2.44% profit potential within 160 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.44%
Worst MAE: -0.90%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.55:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.55x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, VSEC typically reaches +2.44% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.10%
Best Gap +0.87%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-ENGINEERING SERVICES

How VSEC compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
VSEC: -0.08% Sector: -0.13% +0.05%
EOD Gain
VSEC: +0.94% Sector: +0.09% +0.86%
Avg MFE
VSEC: +2.44% Sector: +1.46% +0.98%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical VSEC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-04-06 09:25:00 $185.76 +0.13% +1.37% +0.83% +0.69% +2.71% +3.59% -0.90% -0.90% WIN
2024-06-03 09:28:00 $81.86 +0.22% +0.00% -0.03% +0.48% +1.09% +2.87% -0.51% +0.32% WIN
2023-07-20 09:29:00 $51.55 -0.58% -0.62% -1.45% -2.04% -0.97% +0.87% +0.10% +0.87% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ VSEC Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, VSEC has -0.08% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making VSEC profitable.

🔧 Fix VSEC Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze VSEC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VSEC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, VSEC historically offers an average upside of +2.44% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 VSEC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, VSEC shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.58%) outweigh average wins (+0.17%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: VSEC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.08%). This suggests VSEC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.