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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$WGO

Trade-Ideas alert history 4 alerts 2022-03-232023-09-14

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 4 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Winnebago Industries, Inc. MOTOR HOMES (SIC 3716)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 09, 1970 🔗 www.winnebagoind.com
💰 Market Cap: $810.4M 👥 Employees: 5,300
Winnebago Industries manufactures Class A, B, and C motor homes along with towables, customized specialty vehicles, boats, and parts. Headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota, Winnebago has been producing recreational vehicles since 1958. Revenue was $2.8 billion in fiscal 2025. Winnebago expanded into towables in 2011 with the acquisition of SunnyBrook and acquired Grand Design in November 2016. Towables made up 84% of the firm's RV unit volume, up from 31% in fiscal 2016. The company's total fiscal 2025 RV unit volume was 36,911. Winnebago expanded into boating in 2018 with the purchase of Chris-Craft, bought premium motor home maker Newmar in November 2019, and bought Barletta pontoon boats in August 2021. It also is developing electric and autonomous technology.
Total alerts
4
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
75.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.09%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.95%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading WGO on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.46%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +0.82%
Worst: -0.85%
Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -2.52%
Best: +1.39%
Worst: -2.52%
Trades: 3/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.38%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.27%
Best: +1.50%
Worst: -0.27%
Trades: 3/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +1.89%
Avg Loser: -1.31%
Best: +2.48%
Worst: -1.64%
Trades: 2/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.76%
Avg Winner: +2.70%
Avg Loser: -4.22%
Best: +3.38%
Worst: -4.86%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.95%
Best MFE: +5.49%
Avg Time to MFE: 125 min

On average, WGO alerts reach +2.95% profit potential within 125 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.18%
Worst MAE: -2.78%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.18%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

16.35:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 16.35x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, WGO typically reaches +2.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.22%
Best Gap +0.76%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTOR HOMES

How WGO compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WGO: -0.12% Sector: +0.17% -0.29%
EOD Gain
WGO: -0.76% Sector: +0.27% -1.03%
Avg MFE
WGO: +2.95% Sector: +3.88% -0.93%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WGO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-09-14 09:25:00 $61.92 +0.82% +1.39% +1.50% +1.29% +2.02% +2.16% +0.52% +0.76% WIN
2022-06-28 09:25:00 $52.27 -0.55% +0.29% +0.17% -0.98% -3.58% +1.59% -0.88% -0.55% LOSS
2022-06-22 09:25:00 $46.8 +0.11% -2.52% +0.11% +2.48% +3.38% +5.49% -2.78% -0.26% WIN
2022-03-23 09:25:00 $57.85 -0.85% +0.48% -0.27% -1.64% -4.86% +2.54% +2.42% -0.83% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ WGO Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 75.0% win rate, WGO has -0.09% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making WGO profitable.

🔧 Fix WGO Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze WGO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WGO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WGO historically offers an average upside of +2.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WGO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, WGO shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.52%) outweigh average wins (+0.72%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: WGO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.09%). This suggests WGO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.