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XNET Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-31 → 2025-01-28

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Xunlei Limited
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 24, 2014 🔗 www.xunlei.com
💰 Market Cap: $418.0M 👥 Employees: 1,216
Xunlei Ltd is a cloud-based acceleration technology company in China. The company operates a powerful internet platform in China based on cloud computing to provide users with quick and easy access to digital media content through its products and services, Xunlei Accelerator, and cloud acceleration subscription services. It is increasingly extending into mobile devices in part through potentially pre-installed acceleration products in mobile phones Xunlei has developed various value-added services to meet a fuller spectrum of its users' digital media content access and consumption needs.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.38%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.75%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +1.37%
Avg Loser: -2.13%
Best: +3.26%
Worst: -3.85%
Trades: 3/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -2.25%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -3.60%
Best: +0.48%
Worst: -6.11%
Trades: 2/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.16%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.74%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -9.22%
Trades: 0/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.71%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.71%
Best: -0.95%
Worst: -8.79%
Trades: 0/5

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.88%
Avg Winner: +2.19%
Avg Loser: -3.95%
Best: +2.37%
Worst: -6.38%
Trades: 3/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.75%
Best MFE: +3.45%
Avg Time to MFE: 163 min

On average, XNET alerts reach +1.75% profit potential within 163 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.42%
Worst MAE: -11.54%
Avg Time to MAE: 23 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.42%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.72:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, XNET typically reaches +1.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.67%
Best Gap +0.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XNET alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-28 09:27:22 $2.61 +3.26% +0.38% -1.92% -2.68% +2.30% +3.45% +0.38% +0.38% WIN
2024-12-30 09:28:17 $2.09 -0.24% +0.48% - - +1.91% +2.87% -1.44% - LOSS
2023-01-11 09:28:00 $2.11 +0.49% -0.47% - -0.95% +2.37% +2.37% -1.42% +0.95% WIN
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $1.82 -3.85% -2.75% -6.59% -8.79% -1.65% +0.55% -11.54% -3.85% LOSS
2022-11-10 09:25:00 $1.31 -2.29% -6.11% -9.22% -6.87% -3.82% +0.76% - -1.53% LOSS
2022-03-31 09:25:00 $1.88 +0.35% -5.05% -1.21% -4.26% -6.38% +0.53% -0.53% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ XNET Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.38% average gain, XNET alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider XNET for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze XNET with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XNET. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XNET historically offers an average upside of +1.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XNET Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, XNET shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests XNET may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: XNET shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.38%). This suggests XNET is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.