FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$XP

Trade-Ideas alert history 29 alerts 2022-02-092025-01-24

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 29 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

XP Inc. Class A Common Stock
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 11, 2019 🔗 www.xpinc.com
💰 Market Cap: $9.64B 👥 Employees: 8,069
XP Inc is a Cayman Island-based technology-driven financial services platform. It is a provider of low-fee financial products and services in Brazil. The company evaluates its business through a single segment such as monitoring operations, making decisions on fund allocation, and evaluating the performance. It generates revenue through the Brokerage commission. Geographically, the company derives maximum revenue from Brazil and also has its presence in other countries.
Total alerts
29
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
58.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.12%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.41%
Max potential excursion

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 58.6%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.90%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +2.82%
Worst: -2.56%
Trades: 17/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.43%
Avg Loser: -1.45%
Best: +4.45%
Worst: -5.50%
Trades: 13/15

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.2%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +1.26%
Avg Loser: -1.98%
Best: +3.93%
Worst: -4.54%
Trades: 16/13

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.7%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.71%
Avg Loser: -1.61%
Best: +4.27%
Worst: -4.43%
Trades: 15/14

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.8%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +2.35%
Avg Loser: -1.87%
Best: +4.65%
Worst: -4.68%
Trades: 13/16

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.41%
Best MFE: +8.46%
Avg Time to MFE: 117 min

On average, XP alerts reach +2.41% profit potential within 117 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.97%
Worst MAE: -3.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.97%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.5:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.5x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 29 alerts, XP typically reaches +2.41% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 29
Gap Up % 44.8%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +1.20%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical XP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-24 09:26:13 $12.45 +1.16% +2.13% +0.84% +1.28% +2.73% +3.37% +0.42% +1.20% WIN
2025-01-22 09:27:11 $11.68 -1.54% -0.68% -0.47% -0.45% +3.42% +4.20% -1.80% -0.51% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:28:20 $12.66 +1.02% - +0.51% +0.99% +2.13% +2.37% -0.47% +0.32% WIN
2024-11-29 09:27:31 $13.58 -1.78% -1.44% -2.06% -1.33% -0.29% +1.62% -3.24% -0.15% LOSS
2024-05-23 09:29:19 $18.71 +2.03% +1.58% +0.21% +1.12% -1.28% +2.51% +0.21% +0.75% WIN
2024-05-06 09:29:07 $22.42 -0.09% +0.40% +0.36% +0.54% -0.04% +1.67% -0.54% +0.13% LOSS
2024-02-13 09:27:33 $24.5 +0.33% -0.35% -0.47% -0.06% -0.86% +0.78% -0.45% -0.08% WIN
2023-12-14 09:28:00 $24.79 +2.82% +2.66% +3.93% +3.57% +2.22% +4.50% -0.16% -0.12% WIN
2023-12-06 09:26:00 $24.08 -0.56% +0.05% +0.33% -1.06% -1.83% +0.42% -0.62% -0.33% LOSS
2023-12-05 09:27:00 $23.51 +0.36% +0.34% +1.96% +1.94% +1.57% +3.32% -0.51% +0.09% WIN
2023-11-14 09:27:00 $23.49 +0.72% -3.15% -4.53% -4.43% -4.68% +0.81% -0.85% +0.04% WIN
2023-09-14 09:27:00 $25.75 -0.05% -0.97% -0.94% -1.71% -0.35% +0.39% -0.43% - LOSS
2023-09-11 09:28:00 $24.63 +0.16% -1.20% -1.58% -0.91% +1.22% +1.46% -2.44% - WIN
2023-08-23 09:26:00 $26.24 +0.91% +1.41% +2.13% +4.27% +4.65% +5.60% +0.53% +0.76% WIN
2023-08-10 09:25:00 $26.34 -0.68% +0.06% +1.40% +1.08% -2.54% +1.94% -1.03% -0.65% LOSS
2023-07-28 09:27:00 $26.88 +0.15% -1.04% -0.89% -2.62% -1.79% +0.45% -0.11% +0.19% WIN
2023-07-19 09:28:00 $23.56 +1.06% +1.06% +0.89% +1.63% +1.10% +1.99% -0.21% -0.21% WIN
2023-06-22 09:27:00 $24.75 -0.89% -1.92% -1.58% -1.60% -4.48% +0.08% -0.32% -0.44% LOSS
2023-06-07 09:26:00 $19.44 -0.57% -0.10% +0.87% +0.90% +2.73% +2.83% -1.31% +0.21% LOSS
2023-05-25 09:25:00 $18.51 -0.86% -0.32% -1.03% -1.05% -0.54% +0.47% -1.62% -1.40% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 58.6% Baseline on XP

The 58.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push XP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize XP Strategy →

Why Analyze XP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for XP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, XP historically offers an average upside of +2.41% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 XP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.6%, XP shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show XP performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.