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$CRWV -10.41% — what the base rate says

$CRWV -10.41% — what the base rate says

Three articles about CoreWeave this morning give three debt figures: $35.6 billion, "$50+ billion" and "$52 billion." The closest they come to agreeing is on the price lenders want. One piece says its bond yields hit a record 14.5%. Another rounds that to 15%.

$CRWV is -10.41% today. That comes after a 15.5% drop on October 15, which Zacks tied to hotter-than-expected inflation data and climbing bond yields.

The headlines blur two different stories. Revenue doubling is an equity story. A 14.5% yield is the bond market asking to be paid like a lender to a company that, according to the same article, loses money operationally. Shareholders stand behind those bondholders in line.

CoreWeave's own history covers 10 prior sessions that opened with a gap down of 5% or more. It closed below the open in 6 of them, and the median open-to-close was -0.48%. Ten sessions and a median that small don't form a pattern. They also can't tell you whether today's open even cleared the 5% mark.

Work out which debt number you believe before you decide what the stock is worth.

What the data showed

  • $ZTG -1.93% Zenta Group Company Limited mcap $9M · float 4M shares
  • $SDST -27.23% Stardust Power Inc. mcap $1M · float 38M shares · sector: PRIMARY SMELTING & REFINING OF NONFERROUS METALS
  • $DKI -7.36% Darkiris Inc. mcap $7M · float 540,000 shares
  • $CCC -0.07% CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc. mcap $3.9B · float 551M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $WFF -30.38% WF Holding Limited mcap $10M · float 4M shares
  • $TGL -0.30% Treasure Global Inc. mcap $3M · float 2M shares · sector: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
  • $INTC -3.98% Intel Corporation mcap $598.0B · float 4.5B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
  • $CRWV -10.41% CoreWeave, Inc. mcap $36.3B · float 371M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
  • $SPCX -1.64% Space Exploration Technologies Corp. mcap $2143.0B · float 5.0B shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
  • $TSLA -1.19% Tesla, Inc. mcap $1511.5B · float 2.8B shares · sector: MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES

CoreWeave's 10 sessions that opened with a 5% gap down are few enough to read one by one on FILTRIX.net. Check how far apart the open and close landed each time before calling a -0.48% median a trend.

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