FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

INTC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 756 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 13, 1971 🔗 www.intel.com
💰 Market Cap: $103.56B 👥 Employees: 108,900
Intel is a leading digital chipmaker, focused on the design and manufacturing of microprocessors for the global personal computer and data center markets. Intel pioneered the x86 architecture for microprocessors and was the prime proponent of Moore's law for advances in semiconductor manufacturing. Intel remains the market share leader in central processing units in both the PC and server end markets. Intel has also been expanding into new adjacencies, such as communications infrastructure, automotive, and the Internet of Things. Further, Intel expects to leverage its chip manufacturing capabilities into an outsourced foundry model where it constructs chips for others.
📊
756
Total Alerts
🎯
49.1%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.04%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.54%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: -0.47%
Best: +2.34%
Worst: -4.39%
Trades: 364/385

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +4.21%
Worst: -6.52%
Trades: 353/397

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.0%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +5.92%
Worst: -3.68%
Trades: 355/398

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.3%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +6.44%
Worst: -6.07%
Trades: 350/402

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -1.65%
Best: +7.01%
Worst: -7.42%
Trades: 371/378

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.54%
Best MFE: +10.14%
Avg Time to MFE: 137 min

On average, INTC alerts reach +1.54% profit potential within 137 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.61%
Worst MAE: -4.86%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.61%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.52:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.52x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 756 alerts, INTC typically reaches +1.54% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 756
Gap Up % 46.0%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +1.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How INTC compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
INTC: -0.01% Sector: -0.04% +0.03%
EOD Gain
INTC: -0.04% Sector: +13404.08% -13404.11%
Avg MFE
INTC: +1.54% Sector: +2.71% -1.17%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical INTC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:01 $24.39 +0.18% +2.11% -2.15% -4.96% -3.24% +3.28% -0.70% -0.12% WIN
2025-02-13 09:26:03 $22.9 +1.53% +4.21% +5.92% +6.44% +5.37% +8.43% -0.48% -0.26% WIN
2025-02-12 09:26:52 $22.0 -2.87% -3.46% -1.41% -1.25% +2.18% +2.55% -4.86% -0.09% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:28:48 $19.89 +2.34% +2.49% +3.97% +5.58% +5.43% +10.01% -0.15% -0.10% WIN
2025-02-10 09:29:25 $19.26 +0.94% +2.13% +2.99% +3.32% +2.65% +4.26% -0.10% -0.05% WIN
2025-02-07 09:28:51 $19.31 -0.52% -0.47% -0.70% -0.83% -1.09% +0.26% -0.67% +0.21% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:29:15 $19.52 +0.64% +0.46% +0.38% -0.31% -0.72% +0.92% -0.72% -0.05% WIN
2025-02-05 09:28:18 $19.22 -1.04% -0.39% -0.46% +1.46% +2.24% +2.86% -1.61% -0.16% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:29:25 $19.09 +0.86% +0.89% +1.28% +1.81% +1.05% +2.30% -0.37% +0.05% WIN
2025-02-03 09:28:24 $19.0 -0.71% +0.06% -0.03% +3.03% +2.00% +3.95% -1.16% -0.16% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:26:59 $20.24 -0.94% -2.00% -1.90% -1.85% -4.00% +0.44% -1.14% -0.69% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:27:48 $19.64 -0.03% -0.17% -0.70% -0.53% +1.88% +2.34% -1.07% +0.41% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:28:08 $19.88 +0.23% +0.08% +0.12% +0.10% -0.65% +1.01% -0.50% -0.05% WIN
2025-01-28 09:26:00 $20.39 -0.83% -2.06% -2.60% -2.11% -2.89% +0.05% -0.10% -0.25% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:25:52 $20.87 -0.10% -1.32% -0.29% +0.16% -2.78% +0.91% -1.51% -0.29% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:28:41 $21.4 -1.26% -1.36% -1.89% -1.94% -2.66% +0.05% -0.19% -0.19% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:26:22 $21.74 -0.69% -0.97% -0.62% -1.33% -0.78% +0.09% -0.05% -0.23% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:25:40 $21.75 +0.46% -0.51% +0.28% +0.07% +0.51% +2.46% -0.83% -0.11% WIN
2025-01-21 09:29:13 $22.0 +1.23% +0.86% -0.22% -0.18% -1.05% +1.86% -0.36% +0.14% WIN
2025-01-17 09:26:35 $21.26 -1.60% +0.14% +0.19% -1.01% +1.08% +1.69% -2.21% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ INTC Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.1% win rate and -0.04% average gain, INTC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider INTC for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze INTC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for INTC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, INTC historically offers an average upside of +1.54% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 INTC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.1%, INTC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests INTC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: INTC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.04%). This suggests INTC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.