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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$AAON

Trade-Ideas alerts 66.7% at 5-min n=3 2026-04-27 → 2026-08-10

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 3 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 01, 1990 🔗 www.aaon.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.87B 👥 Employees: 5,897
AAON Inc is a manufacturer of air-conditioning and heating equipment. The products include rooftop units, chillers, packaged outdoor mechanical rooms, air-handling units, makeup air units, energy-recovery units, condensing units, geothermal heat pumps, and self-contained units and coils. The company operates through three segments: AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BASX. It generates the majority of its revenue from the AAON Oklahoma segment which derives maximum revenue, engineers, manufactures, and sells, semi-custom, and custom HVAC systems, designs and manufactures control solutions, and sells retail parts to customers through retail part stores and online.
Total alerts
3
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
66.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.49%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+4.07%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading AAON on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.49%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: +1.32%
Worst: -0.38%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -1.12%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -5.80%
Best: +1.92%
Worst: -5.80%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.65%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.65%
Best: -0.12%
Worst: -6.36%
Trades: 0/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.80%
Avg Winner: +4.98%
Avg Loser: -3.70%
Best: +4.98%
Worst: -6.56%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.71%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.71%
Best: -4.76%
Worst: -7.90%
Trades: 0/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.07%
Best MFE: +6.68%
Avg Time to MFE: 23 min

On average, AAON alerts reach +4.07% profit potential within 23 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.77%
Worst MAE: -3.92%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.77%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.3:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.3x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, AAON typically reaches +4.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.90%
Best Gap +2.38%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR-COND & WARM AIR HEATG EQUIP & COMM & INDL REFRIG EQUIP

How AAON compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AAON: +0.49% Sector: -0.28% +0.77%
EOD Gain
AAON: -6.71% Sector: -0.35% -6.36%
Avg MFE
AAON: +4.07% Sector: +2.31% +1.76%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AAON alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $93.7 +1.32% -5.80% -6.36% -6.56% -4.76% +4.02% -0.11% +0.32% WIN
2026-05-07 09:25:00 $139.67 +0.53% +1.92% -1.48% +4.98% -7.46% +6.68% -3.92% +2.38% WIN
2026-04-27 09:25:00 $99.5 -0.38% +0.50% -0.12% -0.83% -7.90% +1.51% -1.28% +0.00% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 66.7% Baseline on AAON

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push AAON's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AAON Strategy →

Why Analyze AAON with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AAON. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AAON historically offers an average upside of +4.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AAON Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, AAON shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AAON performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.49%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.