FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →
Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$JCI

Trade-Ideas alerts 52.0% at 5-min n=50 2022-02-02 → 2026-09-15

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 50 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 11, 1965 🔗 www.johnsoncontrols.com
💰 Market Cap: $94.64B 👥 Employees: 87,000
Following Johnson Controls' divestiture of its residential and light commercial HVAC businesses to Bosch in 2025, nearly all of its revenue comes from commercial HVAC (60%) and fire and security products and services (40%). A 2016 merger joined Johnson Controls' HVAC and Tyco's fire and security businesses with the premise that there is synergy in offering a broader variety of automation products and solutions to commercial buildings. We estimate Johnson Controls' pro forma revenue mix will be one-third products, one-third installation, and one-third services.
Total alerts
50
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
52.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.07%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.45%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading JCI on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.65%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +3.39%
Worst: -3.34%
Trades: 26/24

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -1.13%
Best: +1.77%
Worst: -2.96%
Trades: 25/23

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -1.28%
Best: +2.38%
Worst: -4.13%
Trades: 26/24

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.0%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -1.45%
Best: +2.95%
Worst: -4.10%
Trades: 23/27

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 38.0%
Avg Gain: -0.38%
Avg Winner: +1.41%
Avg Loser: -1.48%
Best: +4.30%
Worst: -5.10%
Trades: 19/31

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.45%
Best MFE: +6.86%
Avg Time to MFE: 118 min

On average, JCI alerts reach +1.45% profit potential within 118 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.68%
Worst MAE: -5.03%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.68%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.14:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.14x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 50 alerts, JCI typically reaches +1.45% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 50
Gap Up % 48.0%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +6.86%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR-COND & WARM AIR HEATG EQUIP & COMM & INDL REFRIG EQUIP

How JCI compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
JCI: -0.07% Sector: -0.28% +0.21%
EOD Gain
JCI: -0.38% Sector: -0.35% -0.03%
Avg MFE
JCI: +1.45% Sector: +2.31% -0.85%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical JCI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $138.85 +0.17% -1.06% -0.78% -0.33% -0.40% +1.14% -1.24% +0.23% WIN
2026-07-31 09:25:00 $146.67 +0.62% -0.35% -0.68% -1.25% -0.01% +0.81% -0.16% -0.03% WIN
2026-07-29 09:25:00 $146.91 -0.21% -2.54% -4.13% -3.82% -5.10% +0.57% -0.17% -1.76% LOSS
2026-07-09 09:25:00 $141.52 +0.65% -0.22% -0.19% -1.55% -0.70% +0.92% +0.38% +0.52% WIN
2026-06-08 09:25:00 $146.46 -1.27% -0.89% -0.88% -0.78% -1.65% +0.03% -1.67% -0.96% LOSS
2026-06-04 09:25:00 $146.5 -0.76% -1.05% -0.86% -0.70% +0.61% +0.94% -1.58% -0.68% LOSS
2026-05-29 09:25:00 $136.22 -0.31% +0.46% +0.66% +0.04% -1.59% +1.07% -0.77% -0.23% LOSS
2026-05-13 09:25:00 $141.52 +0.07% +0.07% +0.61% +1.10% +1.61% +2.51% -0.43% +0.00% WIN
2026-05-12 09:25:00 $140.67 -0.44% -0.16% -0.63% -0.67% +0.26% +1.29% -1.29% +0.21% LOSS
2026-05-11 09:25:00 $143.0 -3.34% -2.22% -1.64% -1.32% -0.85% +0.04% -3.61% -2.98% LOSS
2026-05-08 09:25:00 $140.54 +0.52% +0.69% +1.09% +0.57% -0.73% +1.27% -0.38% +0.08% WIN
2026-05-06 09:25:00 $139.9 -0.69% +1.64% +0.48% +0.65% +2.32% +3.15% -1.10% -0.76% LOSS
2026-05-05 09:25:00 $145.0 +1.42% +0.74% +0.72% +0.85% -0.12% +1.60% +0.08% +0.65% WIN
2026-04-15 09:25:00 $140.37 +0.29% +0.29% -0.97% -1.11% -2.25% +0.66% -0.10% +0.09% WIN
2026-03-27 09:25:00 $130.77 -0.02% +1.56% +0.62% +1.77% +0.40% +1.95% -0.02% +0.32% LOSS
2026-03-25 09:25:00 $136.43 +0.72% +1.05% +0.12% +0.58% +0.77% +1.43% +0.00% +0.48% WIN
2026-03-24 09:25:00 $130.81 +0.15% +1.77% +1.81% +2.95% +4.30% +4.64% -0.03% +0.78% WIN
2026-03-10 09:25:00 $133.09 -0.32% +0.28% +0.47% +1.21% +0.64% +2.32% -0.37% +0.20% LOSS
2026-03-03 09:25:00 $140.53 +1.22% -0.36% -0.86% -1.44% -0.68% +1.57% -0.10% +0.38% WIN
2026-02-27 09:25:00 $141.88 +0.64% +1.18% +0.75% +1.38% +1.71% +1.91% +0.26% +0.65% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ JCI Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 52.0% win rate, JCI has -0.07% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making JCI profitable.

🔧 Fix JCI Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze JCI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JCI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, JCI historically offers an average upside of +1.45% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 JCI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 52.0%, JCI shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.85%) outweigh average wins (+0.65%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: JCI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.07%). This suggests JCI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.