Latest signal:
JCI Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 22 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2025-02-05
⚠️ Small sample size (22 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, JCI alerts reach +1.23% profit potential within 71 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.66%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 22 alerts, JCI typically reaches +1.23% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR-COND & WARM AIR HEATG EQUIP & COMM & INDL REFRIG EQUIP
How JCI compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical JCI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-05 | 09:28:32 | $87.2 | -0.61% | -0.41% | -0.32% | -0.92% | -1.36% | +1.95% | -0.46% | -0.10% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:27:27 | $78.3 | -0.59% | +0.04% | -0.15% | +0.15% | -0.38% | +0.95% | -0.72% | -0.14% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:26:10 | $77.06 | +0.52% | -0.52% | -0.70% | -0.80% | -1.22% | +1.00% | +0.21% | +0.70% | WIN |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:27:12 | $78.95 | -2.40% | -2.96% | -1.60% | -1.94% | -2.39% | -0.20% | -1.13% | -0.25% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-27 | 09:28:26 | $80.47 | -0.30% | +0.19% | +0.20% | -0.46% | -0.81% | +0.41% | -0.86% | -0.86% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-15 | 09:28:08 | $77.71 | -0.35% | -0.69% | -0.80% | -0.93% | -1.43% | +0.05% | -0.28% | -0.24% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-30 | 09:29:33 | $77.0 | +0.04% | - | +0.08% | -0.01% | +0.79% | +0.91% | -0.34% | -0.05% | WIN |
| 2024-09-09 | 09:26:55 | $67.84 | +1.82% | +0.83% | +0.29% | +0.97% | +1.12% | +1.90% | +0.81% | +0.81% | WIN |
| 2024-08-02 | 09:26:41 | $70.65 | -2.28% | -2.93% | -3.43% | -4.10% | -4.57% | -2.22% | -3.07% | -2.34% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-31 | 09:29:46 | $75.0 | -0.46% | -1.37% | -2.49% | -2.77% | -4.61% | +0.48% | -1.00% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-06-14 | 09:27:41 | $70.62 | -1.29% | -1.63% | -1.57% | -2.38% | -1.69% | -0.64% | -1.25% | -0.95% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-20 | 09:25:47 | $71.64 | -0.20% | -0.96% | -0.75% | -1.26% | -1.42% | +1.88% | -0.31% | +0.22% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-19 | 09:27:01 | $63.77 | -0.16% | +0.66% | +0.57% | +0.77% | -0.17% | +1.14% | -0.33% | +0.31% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-12 | 09:28:24 | $64.42 | +1.10% | +1.41% | +1.20% | +1.33% | +1.35% | +1.65% | +0.12% | +0.23% | WIN |
| 2023-12-12 | 09:29:00 | $55.27 | -0.94% | -2.35% | -3.69% | -4.00% | -3.76% | +0.05% | -1.39% | -1.38% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-02 | 09:28:00 | $64.57 | +3.39% | -0.60% | -1.49% | -0.86% | -1.58% | +6.86% | +2.21% | +6.86% | WIN |
| 2022-07-18 | 09:25:00 | $46.91 | +0.81% | +1.13% | +1.27% | +0.13% | -0.47% | +1.41% | +0.49% | +0.53% | WIN |
| 2022-05-04 | 09:25:00 | $54.41 | -1.06% | -0.04% | +1.84% | -0.39% | +3.88% | +4.19% | -4.80% | -0.64% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-04 | 09:25:00 | $63.8 | +0.11% | -0.08% | -0.75% | -1.43% | -1.38% | +0.22% | -0.34% | -0.27% | WIN |
| 2022-02-17 | 09:25:00 | $67.0 | +0.04% | - | -0.87% | -1.00% | -1.76% | +0.49% | -1.07% | -0.01% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ JCI Shows Negative Expectancy
With 40.9% win rate and -0.13% average gain, JCI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider JCI for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze JCI with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for JCI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, JCI historically offers an average upside of +1.23% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 JCI Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 40.9%, JCI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests JCI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: JCI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.13%). This suggests JCI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.