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AEP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 20 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-15 → 2025-02-05

⚠️ Small sample size (20 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

American Electric Power Company, Inc. ELECTRIC SERVICES (SIC 4911)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 01, 1949 🔗 www.aep.com
💰 Market Cap: $62.29B 👥 Employees: 16,330
American Electric Power is one of the largest regulated utilities in the United States, providing electricity generation, transmission, and distribution to more than 5 million customers in 11 states. About 42% of AEP's capacity is coal, with the remainder from a mix of natural gas (27%), renewable energy and hydro (21%), nuclear (8%), and demand response (2%). Vertically integrated utilities, transmission and distribution, and generation and marketing support earnings.
📊
20
Total Alerts
🎯
70.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.21%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.30%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.37%
Avg Loser: -0.32%
Best: +0.99%
Worst: -0.88%
Trades: 10/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 70.0%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +1.24%
Worst: -1.26%
Trades: 14/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.65%
Avg Loser: -0.47%
Best: +1.00%
Worst: -1.59%
Trades: 10/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.0%
Avg Gain: +0.20%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +1.64%
Worst: -1.64%
Trades: 11/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.0%
Avg Gain: +0.32%
Avg Winner: +1.23%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +2.72%
Worst: -3.02%
Trades: 11/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.30%
Best MFE: +3.86%
Avg Time to MFE: 114 min

On average, AEP alerts reach +1.30% profit potential within 114 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.17%
Worst MAE: -0.63%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.17%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

7.68:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 7.68x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 20 alerts, AEP typically reaches +1.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 20
Gap Up % 55.0%
Avg Gap +0.07%
Best Gap +0.74%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC SERVICES

How AEP compares to 23 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AEP: +0.03% Sector: -0.25% +0.28%
EOD Gain
AEP: +0.32% Sector: -0.39% +0.71%
Avg MFE
AEP: +1.30% Sector: +4.31% -3.01%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AEP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-05 09:28:24 $98.67 -0.14% +0.28% -0.08% +0.27% +0.73% +1.24% -0.27% - LOSS
2025-01-31 09:26:00 $97.71 -0.07% +1.03% +1.00% +1.14% +0.67% +1.37% -0.19% +0.13% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:28:01 $94.5 -0.66% -0.69% -1.22% -1.43% +0.04% +1.50% +0.53% +0.69% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:27:35 $99.25 -0.88% -1.26% -0.23% -1.64% -3.02% +0.76% -0.12% -0.12% LOSS
2024-11-05 09:26:19 $98.26 +0.23% +0.24% +0.44% +0.89% +2.18% +2.26% -0.07% +0.38% WIN
2024-10-30 09:26:38 $97.53 +0.04% +0.23% -0.03% -0.64% -0.13% +0.33% -0.28% -0.14% WIN
2024-09-19 09:27:44 $102.9 -0.31% -0.92% -0.70% -0.91% -1.13% -0.06% -0.63% -0.61% LOSS
2024-09-12 09:25:52 $103.05 +0.22% -0.22% -0.30% -0.41% -0.06% +0.34% -0.27% -0.27% WIN
2024-05-24 09:28:09 $89.28 -0.04% +0.15% -0.03% -0.12% -0.35% +0.58% -0.49% +0.22% LOSS
2024-05-01 09:25:41 $86.04 -0.10% +0.33% -0.03% +0.85% +2.45% +3.86% -0.40% -0.33% LOSS
2024-04-24 09:29:50 $84.22 +0.62% +0.84% +0.99% +1.29% +2.55% +2.81% +0.11% +0.42% WIN
2024-03-21 09:26:42 $82.76 +0.59% +0.68% +0.94% +0.80% +0.41% +1.12% +0.11% +0.23% WIN
2024-03-20 09:29:52 $82.89 +0.47% +0.71% +0.69% +1.05% -0.05% +1.37% -0.22% +0.13% WIN
2024-03-01 09:27:21 $84.99 -0.74% -0.72% -1.59% -0.67% - +0.25% -0.22% +0.25% LOSS
2023-03-14 09:29:00 $89.18 +0.99% +0.72% +0.78% +1.64% +1.20% +2.16% +0.38% +0.74% WIN
2022-12-19 09:25:00 $93.8 +0.42% +1.03% +0.84% +1.22% +0.21% +1.43% +0.16% +0.32% WIN
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $90.0 +0.08% +0.41% +0.24% -0.37% -0.87% +0.65% -0.42% -0.31% WIN
2022-02-25 09:25:00 $87.09 +0.08% +1.24% +0.37% +0.57% +2.72% +2.85% -0.22% +0.11% WIN
2022-02-18 09:25:00 $85.4 -0.20% +0.24% +0.19% +0.82% +0.36% +1.14% -0.46% -0.11% LOSS
2022-02-15 09:25:00 $86.74 -0.06% -0.13% -0.50% -0.29% -1.50% +0.08% -0.41% -0.39% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 70.0% Baseline on AEP

The 70.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AEP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AEP Strategy →

Why Analyze AEP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AEP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AEP historically offers an average upside of +1.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AEP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 70.0%, AEP shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AEP performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.21%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.