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OKLO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 104 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-05-10 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 10, 2024 🔗 www.oklo.com
💰 Market Cap: $13.69B 👥 Employees: 113
Oklo Inc is developing advanced fission power plants to provide clean, reliable, and affordable energy at scale. It is pursuing two complementary tracks to address this demand: providing reliable, commercial-scale energy to customers; and selling used nuclear fuel recycling services to the U.S. market. The Company plans to commercialize its liquid metal fast reactor technology with the Aurora powerhouse product line. The first commercial Aurora powerhouse is designed to produce up to 15 megawatts of electricity (MWe) on both recycled nuclear fuel and fresh fuel.
📊
104
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.42%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+7.88%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +2.18%
Avg Loser: -2.27%
Best: +5.86%
Worst: -6.68%
Trades: 49/53

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.3%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +4.05%
Avg Loser: -3.36%
Best: +16.99%
Worst: -22.81%
Trades: 45/57

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.42%
Avg Winner: +4.59%
Avg Loser: -3.75%
Best: +18.71%
Worst: -22.94%
Trades: 52/52

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.2%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +5.74%
Avg Loser: -4.53%
Best: +20.28%
Worst: -21.59%
Trades: 48/56

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: +1.25%
Avg Winner: +9.24%
Avg Loser: -6.43%
Best: +28.42%
Worst: -45.69%
Trades: 51/53

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.88%
Best MFE: +31.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 114 min

On average, OKLO alerts reach +7.88% profit potential within 114 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.70%
Worst MAE: -10.92%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.92:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.92x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 104 alerts, OKLO typically reaches +7.88% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 104
Gap Up % 38.5%
Avg Gap -0.14%
Best Gap +1.75%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRIC SERVICES

How OKLO compares to 23 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OKLO: -0.13% Sector: -0.25% +0.13%
EOD Gain
OKLO: +1.25% Sector: -0.39% +1.64%
Avg MFE
OKLO: +7.88% Sector: +4.31% +3.56%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OKLO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:55 $55.39 -1.30% -3.00% -1.70% -1.75% -5.00% +3.81% -5.40% -0.02% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:27:24 $55.68 -2.66% -3.38% -3.11% -5.59% -1.17% -0.22% -0.50% -0.48% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:28:49 $47.42 +3.80% +4.15% +6.39% +10.48% +14.68% +16.68% +0.08% +0.76% WIN
2025-02-11 09:26:15 $52.88 +1.47% -0.19% -0.28% -2.40% -5.29% +2.31% -2.57% +0.30% WIN
2025-02-10 09:26:44 $55.27 -0.28% -0.49% -0.34% -1.28% -2.79% +2.77% -2.93% -0.40% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:28:02 $49.23 +5.86% +13.49% +18.26% +16.98% +12.72% +20.13% -0.79% +0.34% WIN
2025-02-06 09:27:02 $51.2 +1.56% -3.48% -7.19% -6.43% -6.72% +3.50% -0.20% +0.06% WIN
2025-02-05 09:29:07 $46.48 +2.49% +0.09% +0.85% +0.15% +8.65% +12.84% -0.99% +0.58% WIN
2025-02-04 09:29:12 $46.78 +0.48% -6.20% -4.98% -0.96% +0.24% +2.64% -0.92% -0.15% WIN
2025-02-03 09:28:05 $38.05 +5.77% +10.05% +9.25% +9.22% +20.71% +24.57% +0.39% +1.68% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:30 $42.45 -1.48% -1.79% -1.30% +0.92% -1.98% +6.55% -4.03% -0.12% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:25:47 $36.32 +0.65% +6.70% +3.56% +8.62% +15.39% +16.33% -1.18% -0.33% WIN
2025-01-29 09:26:44 $33.94 -0.45% +3.54% +9.25% +8.50% +4.01% +12.23% -1.97% -0.97% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:28:02 $32.48 -3.91% -2.62% -3.73% +3.31% +5.05% +5.17% -7.64% +1.75% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:04 $32.42 +2.22% +4.23% +3.95% -0.37% -4.04% +7.83% -2.84% +0.80% WIN
2025-01-24 09:26:42 $39.06 +4.15% +4.54% +2.84% +8.93% +7.07% +11.88% -0.59% +1.25% WIN
2025-01-23 09:27:52 $32.42 +5.50% +10.24% +8.88% +12.72% +19.62% +24.03% -1.26% -0.86% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:53 $32.42 +0.88% -0.89% +3.30% +3.58% +5.40% +7.80% -1.20% +0.03% WIN
2025-01-21 09:26:02 $27.55 +3.23% +4.32% +4.07% +1.45% +13.43% +14.27% -2.36% +0.25% WIN
2025-01-17 09:26:31 $25.14 -0.78% +0.04% -0.36% -1.92% +3.62% +6.60% -3.62% -0.60% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on OKLO

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push OKLO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize OKLO Strategy →

Why Analyze OKLO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OKLO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OKLO historically offers an average upside of +7.88% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OKLO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, OKLO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show OKLO performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.42%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.