Latest signal:
ARQ Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-04-10 → 2024-09-20
⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ARQ alerts reach +0.73% profit potential within 16 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.17%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, ARQ typically reaches +0.73% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS
How ARQ compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ARQ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-20 | 09:29:52 | $5.38 | -2.42% | -2.42% | -1.49% | -1.49% | -5.20% | +0.13% | -0.56% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-04-10 | 09:29:45 | $7.59 | -7.12% | -2.77% | +0.26% | -3.03% | -11.20% | +1.34% | -7.77% | -1.84% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ ARQ Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.61% average gain, ARQ alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ARQ for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze ARQ with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARQ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARQ historically offers an average upside of +0.73% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ARQ Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, ARQ shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ARQ may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ARQ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.61%). This suggests ARQ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.