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ASPI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 28 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-11-29 → 2025-02-10

⚠️ Small sample size (28 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

ASP Isotopes Inc. Common Stock MISCELLANEOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS (SIC 2890)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 10, 2022 🔗 www.aspisotopes.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.06B 👥 Employees: 136
ASP Isotopes Inc is a pre-commercial stage materials company dedicated to the development of technology and processes that, if successful, will allow for the production of isotopes that may be used in several industries. The company utilizes technology developed in South Africa over the past 20 years to enrich isotopes of elements or molecules with low atomic masses.
📊
28
Total Alerts
🎯
42.9%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.58%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+8.09%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.7%
Avg Gain: -0.56%
Avg Winner: +3.39%
Avg Loser: -2.91%
Best: +10.55%
Worst: -8.26%
Trades: 10/17

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +3.76%
Avg Loser: -3.84%
Best: +10.28%
Worst: -10.04%
Trades: 12/16

30MIN

Win Rate: 39.3%
Avg Gain: -1.03%
Avg Winner: +5.19%
Avg Loser: -5.05%
Best: +11.35%
Worst: -13.91%
Trades: 11/17

60MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -2.10%
Avg Winner: +8.09%
Avg Loser: -6.17%
Best: +15.49%
Worst: -23.56%
Trades: 8/20

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 35.7%
Avg Gain: -3.03%
Avg Winner: +8.38%
Avg Loser: -9.92%
Best: +23.05%
Worst: -26.14%
Trades: 10/17

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.09%
Best MFE: +31.21%
Avg Time to MFE: 102 min

On average, ASPI alerts reach +8.09% profit potential within 102 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.65%
Worst MAE: -12.66%
Avg Time to MAE: 20 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.65%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.22:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.22x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 28 alerts, ASPI typically reaches +8.09% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 28
Gap Up % 39.3%
Avg Gap -0.25%
Best Gap +2.81%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS

How ASPI compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ASPI: -0.56% Sector: -0.67% +0.11%
EOD Gain
ASPI: -3.03% Sector: +62.24% -65.27%
Avg MFE
ASPI: +8.09% Sector: +7.41% +0.69%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ASPI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-10 09:28:07 $6.45 +3.33% +2.17% +0.62% -2.95% -2.33% +8.37% -0.62% -0.62% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:15 $5.9 -1.69% -4.92% -2.80% -7.29% -11.53% -0.51% -1.53% -1.36% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:25:13 $5.38 -2.04% +1.12% +5.99% +8.00% +9.67% +11.71% -5.76% -2.04% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:29:17 $4.81 -2.91% -1.46% -1.87% +0.62% +3.95% +8.52% -3.74% -2.08% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:29:24 $4.97 +1.41% +6.44% +5.33% +7.06% -2.01% +8.45% -1.01% -1.01% WIN
2024-12-02 09:28:44 $5.6 +4.11% +2.12% -4.58% -8.39% -8.93% +6.25% -1.61% +0.98% WIN
2024-11-29 09:29:47 $5.09 +3.98% +5.50% +6.09% +6.09% +9.04% +9.63% -1.77% -0.79% WIN
2024-11-27 09:28:35 $5.64 -2.22% +0.98% +0.44% -2.39% -10.99% +3.37% -3.53% +0.89% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:27:29 $7.92 -2.08% -3.16% +0.88% -23.56% -26.14% +5.43% -5.30% +0.25% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:25:25 $8.36 -1.67% -1.08% -6.94% -2.86% -8.49% +1.44% -2.15% +0.48% LOSS
2024-11-18 09:27:40 $7.45 +2.82% +0.22% -1.21% +3.08% +6.04% +9.40% -2.28% +1.75% WIN
2024-11-14 09:25:55 $8.4 -0.95% -0.22% -6.25% -6.25% -10.95% +2.26% -1.19% -1.07% LOSS
2024-11-13 09:25:00 $8.33 -4.08% -5.04% -3.96% -3.96% - +4.32% -11.04% -3.24% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:29:12 $8.99 -2.09% -3.01% -3.83% -2.50% -8.01% +3.78% -0.44% -0.11% LOSS
2024-11-06 09:25:22 $7.22 - -6.37% -7.08% -4.15% +5.96% +6.65% -9.00% -0.28% -
2024-11-05 09:29:14 $6.79 -1.77% -2.14% -2.36% -2.21% +1.77% +4.41% -4.20% -1.62% LOSS
2024-11-04 09:29:05 $7.63 -8.26% -1.18% -1.57% -5.11% -14.55% +2.23% -9.57% -0.39% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:25:09 $7.4 -0.92% +1.35% +9.87% +9.32% +5.27% +19.73% -3.78% +1.08% LOSS
2024-10-31 09:29:22 $7.3 +1.23% +6.18% -5.34% -1.44% -4.25% +7.81% -3.29% -0.27% WIN
2024-10-30 09:29:49 $8.57 -7.74% -5.72% -10.94% -3.56% -19.49% +7.70% -0.70% -0.23% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ASPI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.9% win rate and -0.58% average gain, ASPI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ASPI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ASPI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ASPI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ASPI historically offers an average upside of +8.09% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ASPI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.9%, ASPI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ASPI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ASPI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.58%). This suggests ASPI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.