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Latest signal:

BERZ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 11 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-10 → 2024-03-06

⚠️ Small sample size (11 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

MicroSectors FANG & Innovation -3x Inverse Leveraged ETN COMMERCIAL BANKS, NEC (SIC 6029)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Aug 18, 2021
📊
11
Total Alerts
🎯
72.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+400.39%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.07%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 63.6%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -1.64%
Best: +1.28%
Worst: -2.77%
Trades: 7/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.15%
Avg Loser: -1.90%
Best: +2.33%
Worst: -4.69%
Trades: 6/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 36.4%
Avg Gain: -0.18%
Avg Winner: +2.06%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: +3.20%
Worst: -3.29%
Trades: 4/6

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.40%
Avg Winner: +2.07%
Avg Loser: -2.46%
Best: +3.73%
Worst: -3.69%
Trades: 5/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 72.7%
Avg Gain: +400.39%
Avg Winner: +551.71%
Avg Loser: -3.12%
Best: +979.93%
Worst: -4.57%
Trades: 8/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.07%
Best MFE: +9.33%
Avg Time to MFE: 145 min

On average, BERZ alerts reach +3.07% profit potential within 145 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.02%
Worst MAE: -3.72%
Avg Time to MAE: 30 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.02%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.01:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.01x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 11 alerts, BERZ typically reaches +3.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 11
Gap Up % 54.5%
Avg Gap +0.11%
Best Gap +0.96%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMERCIAL BANKS, NEC

How BERZ compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BERZ: +0.18% Sector: -0.04% +0.23%
EOD Gain
BERZ: +400.39% Sector: +1152.05% -751.66%
Avg MFE
BERZ: +3.07% Sector: +3.85% -0.78%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BERZ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-03-06 09:27:30 $2.68 +0.19% +1.12% +2.24% +3.73% +2.61% +4.85% -0.37% -0.37% WIN
2024-02-21 09:28:00 $3.33 - +0.60% - +0.60% +900.00% +3.00% -0.75% - -
2024-02-13 09:26:06 $3.12 +0.63% -0.76% -1.60% -2.82% +883.97% +1.28% -0.32% +0.32% WIN
2023-11-14 09:26:00 $5.15 +0.87% - -0.39% -0.97% -1.17% +1.36% - - WIN
2023-09-14 09:29:00 $6.23 +1.28% +0.80% +1.44% +1.28% +0.48% +2.73% +0.16% +0.16% WIN
2023-06-26 09:26:00 $7.73 +0.35% -1.23% -2.20% -1.81% +5.17% +4.98% -2.98% +0.39% WIN
2023-04-20 09:26:00 $15.03 - -0.93% -1.60% -2.13% +896.01% +0.80% -3.72% +0.40% -
2022-10-17 09:25:00 $44.0 -2.77% -4.69% -3.29% -3.69% -4.57% -1.00% -2.77% -1.00% LOSS
2022-10-13 09:25:00 $51.0 +0.76% +2.33% -1.12% -3.32% +745.49% +2.45% +0.76% +0.96% WIN
2022-10-07 09:25:00 $39.66 +1.21% +0.25% +3.20% +2.17% +979.93% +9.33% -0.20% +0.66% WIN
2022-08-10 09:25:00 $22.68 -0.52% +1.76% +1.34% +2.56% -3.62% +4.01% -1.06% -0.31% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 72.7% Baseline on BERZ

The 72.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BERZ's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BERZ Strategy →

Why Analyze BERZ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BERZ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BERZ historically offers an average upside of +3.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BERZ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 72.7%, BERZ shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BERZ performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +400.39%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.