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LYG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 357 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Lloyds Banking Group PLC
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 17, 2000 🔗 www.lloydsbankinggroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $83.59B 👥 Employees: 61,228
Lloyds is a retail and commercial bank headquartered in the United Kingdom. The bank operates via three business segments: retail, commercial banking, and insurance and wealth. In retail, Lloyds offers primarily mortgages (66% of loan portfolio), credit cards, and current accounts to its customers. Its commercial banking operation provides lending, transaction banking, working capital management, and debt capital market services to large companies and financial institutions in the UK. Insurance and wealth round out the product lineup with life and property insurance as well as pension solutions and high-net-worth asset management services.
📊
357
Total Alerts
🎯
44.4%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.04%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.01%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 36.0%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: -0.32%
Best: +0.95%
Worst: -0.95%
Trades: 128/155

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.36%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +1.29%
Worst: -1.47%
Trades: 158/160

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.9%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.46%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +2.48%
Worst: -1.62%
Trades: 149/165

60MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.61%
Avg Loser: -0.68%
Best: +1.93%
Worst: -2.33%
Trades: 156/165

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.5%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -1.15%
Best: +5.75%
Worst: -4.78%
Trades: 148/165

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.01%
Best MFE: +6.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 113 min

On average, LYG alerts reach +1.01% profit potential within 113 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.48%
Worst MAE: -2.59%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.48%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 357 alerts, LYG typically reaches +1.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 357
Gap Up % 19.6%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +1.36%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LYG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:09 $3.22 -0.47% - -0.16% -0.16% - +0.62% -0.62% -0.31% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:29:50 $3.17 -0.26% +0.04% +0.47% +0.47% +0.95% +1.57% -0.32% -0.32% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:27:54 $3.1 +0.16% +0.36% +0.32% +0.65% +0.65% +1.29% - +0.32% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:04 $2.99 - +0.17% -0.33% +1.00% +0.67% +1.67% -0.67% - -
2025-01-27 09:25:59 $3.06 -0.16% -0.15% -0.25% -0.33% -0.33% +0.33% -0.33% -0.33% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:25:13 $3.03 -0.00% -0.17% -0.17% -0.17% -0.66% +0.33% -0.33% -0.33% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:38 $3.0 -0.50% -0.67% -0.92% -0.92% +0.67% +1.00% -1.00% -0.33% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:29:40 $2.78 - -0.18% +0.18% +0.41% +1.44% +2.16% -0.36% - -
2025-01-13 09:26:10 $2.59 -0.39% +0.39% +0.19% -0.19% +0.39% +1.16% -0.39% -0.39% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:29:12 $2.62 -0.76% -0.57% -0.19% +0.19% +1.15% +1.15% -1.15% - LOSS
2025-01-02 09:29:10 $2.71 -0.31% -0.18% - -0.58% -0.37% +0.37% -0.74% -0.37% LOSS
2024-12-27 09:27:07 $2.71 +0.18% +0.18% +0.55% -0.18% -0.37% +0.74% -0.37% - WIN
2024-12-23 09:27:26 $2.69 -0.37% -0.37% -0.00% -0.37% +0.74% +1.49% -0.93% -0.37% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:25:41 $2.7 +0.30% +0.19% +0.31% -0.19% -0.74% +0.74% - - WIN
2024-12-18 09:29:59 $2.77 -0.28% -0.18% -0.22% +0.18% -3.25% +0.36% -0.36% -0.36% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:27:29 $2.77 -0.72% -1.08% -0.73% -0.90% -1.44% - -1.08% -0.36% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:27:46 $2.8 -0.54% -1.07% -0.54% -0.89% -0.36% - -0.36% -0.36% LOSS
2024-12-06 09:25:03 $2.73 -0.37% - -0.44% -0.92% -1.10% - -0.37% - LOSS
2024-12-05 09:28:18 $2.71 +0.18% +0.55% +0.55% +0.55% +0.74% +1.11% - +0.37% WIN
2024-12-04 09:26:48 $2.71 -0.37% -0.37% -0.40% -0.18% -1.11% - -0.55% -0.37% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ LYG Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.4% win rate and -0.04% average gain, LYG alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider LYG for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze LYG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LYG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LYG historically offers an average upside of +1.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LYG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.4%, LYG shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests LYG may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: LYG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.04%). This suggests LYG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.