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CALX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-19 → 2024-04-23

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 24, 2010 🔗 www.calix.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.59B 👥 Employees: 1,820
Calix Inc develops, markets and sells its appliance-based platform, cloud and managed services that enable service providers of all types and sizes to innovate and transform their businesses. The company's customers utilize the real-time data and insights from Calix platforms to simplify their business and deliver experiences that excite their subscribers. The resulting growth in subscriber acquisition, loyalty and revenue creates more value for their businesses and communities. The Company's revenue is principally derived in the United States and it also has its presence in Middle East & Africa, Europe, Asia Pacific and other markets.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+2.60%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+6.09%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.60%
Avg Winner: +2.60%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.50%
Worst: +0.97%
Trades: 3/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.15%
Avg Winner: +2.15%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.20%
Worst: +0.52%
Trades: 3/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.27%
Avg Winner: +3.27%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +8.71%
Worst: +0.21%
Trades: 3/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.05%
Avg Winner: +4.05%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +9.79%
Worst: +0.73%
Trades: 3/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.00%
Avg Winner: +3.00%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.18%
Worst: +0.95%
Trades: 3/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.09%
Best MFE: +12.16%
Avg Time to MFE: 146 min

On average, CALX alerts reach +6.09% profit potential within 146 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.69%
Worst MAE: -0.56%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.69%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

8.84:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 8.84x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, CALX typically reaches +6.09% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +1.36%
Best Gap +2.53%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES, NEC

How CALX compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CALX: +2.60% Sector: -0.36% +2.96%
EOD Gain
CALX: +3.00% Sector: +404.57% -401.57%
Avg MFE
CALX: +6.09% Sector: +6.49% -0.40%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CALX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-23 09:26:45 $26.65 +4.50% +5.20% +8.71% +9.79% +5.18% +12.16% -0.56% +0.56% WIN
2023-09-05 09:25:00 $46.29 +0.97% +0.75% +0.89% +1.63% +2.87% +3.11% +0.71% +0.97% WIN
2023-07-19 09:29:00 $48.53 +2.32% +0.52% +0.21% +0.73% +0.95% +3.01% +1.92% +2.53% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on CALX

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CALX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CALX Strategy →

Why Analyze CALX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CALX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CALX historically offers an average upside of +6.09% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CALX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, CALX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CALX performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.60%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.