FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

ASTS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 169 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-09 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Class A Common Stock COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES, NEC (SIC 4899)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 07, 2021 🔗 www.ast-science.com
💰 Market Cap: $31.57B 👥 Employees: 578
AST SpaceMobile Inc is a satellite designer and manufacturer. The company is building a cellular broadband network in space to operate directly with standard, unmodified mobile devices, and off-the-shelf mobile phones based on extensive IP and patent portfolio. It has focused on eliminating the connectivity gaps faced by mobile subscribers. The Company's spaceMobile Service is being designed to provide cost-effective, high-speed Cellular Broadband services to end-users who are out of terrestrial cellular coverage using existing mobile devices.
📊
169
Total Alerts
🎯
50.9%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.01%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+6.76%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.9%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.89%
Avg Loser: -1.92%
Best: +13.05%
Worst: -8.86%
Trades: 81/88

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +2.77%
Avg Loser: -2.92%
Best: +13.10%
Worst: -9.51%
Trades: 86/81

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.9%
Avg Gain: +0.32%
Avg Winner: +3.85%
Avg Loser: -2.97%
Best: +17.99%
Worst: -15.73%
Trades: 81/87

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.5%
Avg Gain: +0.29%
Avg Winner: +4.52%
Avg Loser: -3.79%
Best: +19.51%
Worst: -17.38%
Trades: 82/85

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: +0.90%
Avg Winner: +7.13%
Avg Loser: -5.11%
Best: +44.18%
Worst: -22.88%
Trades: 83/86

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.76%
Best MFE: +54.39%
Avg Time to MFE: 129 min

On average, ASTS alerts reach +6.76% profit potential within 129 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.18%
Worst MAE: -9.91%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.18%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 169 alerts, ASTS typically reaches +6.76% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 169
Gap Up % 34.3%
Avg Gap -0.22%
Best Gap +2.48%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES, NEC

How ASTS compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ASTS: -0.09% Sector: -0.36% +0.27%
EOD Gain
ASTS: +0.90% Sector: +404.57% -403.67%
Avg MFE
ASTS: +6.76% Sector: +6.49% +0.27%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ASTS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:47 $30.55 -0.74% -1.65% -1.70% -0.67% +5.07% +6.28% -3.86% -1.21% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:26:13 $27.8 -1.40% +1.33% +1.21% +3.81% +8.09% +10.68% -2.70% -0.36% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:39 $28.31 -1.90% -1.80% -0.78% -1.13% -2.47% +2.93% -3.57% +0.57% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:28:50 $30.67 -0.56% -1.29% -0.85% -3.62% -7.40% +0.42% -2.67% -0.24% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:27:25 $27.64 +5.34% +5.16% +8.68% +14.95% +12.66% +19.28% -0.89% -0.89% WIN
2025-02-07 09:28:24 $27.7 -0.14% +1.91% +2.64% -0.47% -4.30% +3.82% -1.95% +0.22% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:26:05 $25.59 +1.14% +1.00% +4.45% +6.39% +5.98% +7.89% -1.13% -0.57% WIN
2025-02-05 09:27:21 $23.57 -1.40% +0.23% +1.32% +2.84% +4.84% +5.01% -1.78% -1.57% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:25:25 $22.24 +0.11% -0.58% +3.62% +3.00% +3.82% +7.14% -1.53% -1.30% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:37 $18.98 +4.90% +7.56% +8.36% +10.63% +13.12% +15.54% -0.74% -0.47% WIN
2025-01-31 09:25:03 $19.33 -1.09% +3.52% +8.85% +11.61% +4.71% +14.80% -2.12% -0.47% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:18 $18.54 +1.19% +0.47% -0.16% +0.11% -1.78% +2.27% -1.29% -0.11% WIN
2025-01-29 09:27:12 $19.55 -1.02% -6.60% -6.50% -8.54% -9.36% - -1.18% -0.05% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:29:48 $19.6 -2.04% -1.58% -1.94% -1.22% +2.76% +3.62% -4.44% +0.26% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:13 $19.69 -1.07% +1.78% +2.64% +1.88% -2.69% +4.82% -2.18% +0.41% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:26:18 $20.2 -0.27% -0.64% -1.11% -0.40% +0.74% +2.33% -1.98% +1.24% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:29:30 $19.32 +2.33% +0.36% -0.78% - +2.48% +3.26% -1.60% -0.88% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:32 $23.26 -1.50% -0.65% +0.34% +0.77% -3.31% +2.06% -2.54% -0.17% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:28:46 $21.02 +3.28% +3.00% +3.52% +7.28% +9.90% +9.99% -0.57% -0.57% WIN
2025-01-15 09:28:03 $21.16 +0.47% +0.17% +2.27% +3.97% +1.80% +4.16% -0.98% +0.19% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.9% Baseline on ASTS

The 50.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ASTS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ASTS Strategy →

Why Analyze ASTS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ASTS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ASTS historically offers an average upside of +6.76% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ASTS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.9%, ASTS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ASTS performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.