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CMCSA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 176 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-12

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 02, 1973 🔗 www.comcastcorporation.com
💰 Market Cap: $106.77B 👥 Employees: 182,000
Comcast is made up of three parts. The core cable business owns networks capable of providing television, internet access, and phone services to 65 million US homes and businesses, or nearly half of the country. The firm provides services to about half of the locations in this territory. Comcast acquired NBCUniversal from General Electric in 2011. Following the spinoff of several cable networks, including CNBC, MSNBC, and USA, NBCU now consists of the NBC network, several local NBC affiliates, Bravo, the Peacock streaming platform, Universal Studios, and several theme parks. Finally, Sky, acquired in 2018, is a large television provider in the UK and Italy.
📊
176
Total Alerts
🎯
56.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.04%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.32%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.61%
Avg Loser: -0.59%
Best: +2.45%
Worst: -3.83%
Trades: 83/89

15MIN

Win Rate: 56.0%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +4.17%
Worst: -4.66%
Trades: 98/75

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.1%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +5.05%
Worst: -4.75%
Trades: 93/82

60MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +6.82%
Worst: -6.17%
Trades: 91/82

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.6%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.37%
Avg Loser: -1.19%
Best: +5.66%
Worst: -4.89%
Trades: 82/93

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.32%
Best MFE: +10.14%
Avg Time to MFE: 111 min

On average, CMCSA alerts reach +1.32% profit potential within 111 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.48%
Worst MAE: -4.31%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.48%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.77:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.77x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 176 alerts, CMCSA typically reaches +1.32% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 176
Gap Up % 49.4%
Avg Gap +0.00%
Best Gap +1.56%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES

How CMCSA compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CMCSA: -0.01% Sector: +0.08% -0.08%
EOD Gain
CMCSA: +0.01% Sector: +0.22% -0.20%
Avg MFE
CMCSA: +1.32% Sector: +2.68% -1.36%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CMCSA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:25:32 $34.94 +0.09% +0.01% +0.46% +0.50% -0.11% +0.82% -0.14% -0.06% WIN
2025-02-11 09:29:23 $34.19 +0.41% +1.04% +1.13% +1.86% +3.04% +3.41% -0.32% -0.32% WIN
2025-02-07 09:25:19 $34.44 +0.49% +0.19% +0.28% -0.03% -0.20% +0.73% - +0.52% WIN
2025-02-06 09:26:54 $33.96 -0.15% -0.56% -0.12% +0.07% +1.50% +1.53% -0.62% +0.41% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:29:00 $33.54 +0.03% +0.18% -0.24% +0.04% +1.19% +1.22% -0.69% +0.03% WIN
2025-02-04 09:25:03 $33.06 -1.24% +0.39% +0.74% +0.38% +1.48% +1.66% -1.51% -1.15% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:26:30 $33.36 -0.24% -0.21% -0.15% +0.36% -0.51% +1.26% -1.08% -0.75% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:26:39 $33.4 -0.16% - +0.55% +0.97% +0.78% +1.83% -0.30% +0.21% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:28 $34.33 +0.03% -1.57% -1.72% -2.21% -3.15% +1.02% -1.54% +0.26% WIN
2025-01-29 09:29:08 $37.87 -0.58% -0.49% -0.69% -0.54% -1.35% -0.12% -0.84% -0.48% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:28:33 $37.89 +0.34% +0.73% +0.13% -0.55% -0.90% +0.75% -0.32% +0.16% WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:55 $37.43 +2.00% +2.36% +1.71% +1.71% +2.14% +2.59% +0.35% +0.37% WIN
2025-01-22 09:27:03 $36.77 +0.14% -0.45% -0.23% +0.12% +0.92% +1.17% -0.71% +0.24% WIN
2025-01-21 09:29:19 $36.6 +0.12% +0.76% +0.94% +1.03% +1.01% +1.78% -0.16% -0.05% WIN
2025-01-16 09:29:46 $36.5 +0.03% +0.07% -0.45% -0.41% -0.52% +0.38% -0.36% +0.05% WIN
2025-01-14 09:26:15 $36.5 +0.07% -0.30% -0.16% -0.26% -0.33% +0.38% +0.14% +0.36% WIN
2025-01-10 09:27:10 $36.75 +0.35% +1.07% +0.53% -0.12% -1.06% +1.13% +0.11% +0.11% WIN
2025-01-02 09:28:43 $37.87 -0.11% -0.05% -0.05% -0.67% -1.19% +0.21% -0.50% -0.18% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:29:44 $42.62 +0.63% +0.28% +0.09% +0.01% -0.16% +0.83% -0.26% +0.21% WIN
2024-12-03 09:25:15 $43.24 +0.10% -0.71% -0.34% -0.21% -0.88% +0.49% -0.12% -0.05% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 56.0% Baseline on CMCSA

The 56.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CMCSA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CMCSA Strategy →

Why Analyze CMCSA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CMCSA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CMCSA historically offers an average upside of +1.32% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CMCSA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.0%, CMCSA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CMCSA performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.04%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.